FINA World Championships Predictions: Women’s 200 Free

katie ledecky
Photo Courtesy: Peter H. Bick

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The women’s 200 free final at last year’s Olympics was a clash between two women who had already won a gold medal in Rio and had already broken a world record. But at this year’s FINA World Championships, only one of them is back.

Katie Ledecky will swim the 200 free, and she enters as the clear favorite. Sarah Sjostrom, headed to Budapest as the clear favorite in four other events, will not. Sjostrom has zeroed in on the sprints under new coach Johan Wallberg, leaving Ledecky as the clear favorite in the 200 free.

It’s the shortest of the events in which she won Olympic gold in Rio or a World title in Kazan two years ago, but she has been pretty good at it, ranking No. 3 all-time in the event and comfortably first in the world this year at 1:54.84.

Read below to see what Swimming World’s trio of experts think will happen in Budapest. David RiederJohn Lohn and Andy Ross will each offer their predictions for who will finish on the podium.

Women’s 200 Free

Current Records:

World Record: Federica Pellegrini, ITA (2009) — 1:52.98
Championship Record: Federica Pellegrini, ITA (2009) — 1:52.98
American Record: Allison Schmitt (2012) — 1:52.61

2015 World Champion: Katie Ledecky, USA — 1:55.16
2016 Olympic Gold Medalist: Katie Ledecky, USA — 1:53.73
2017 World No. 1: Katie Ledecky, USA — 1:54.84

Swimming World Predictions

David Rieder’s Picks:

Gold: Katie Ledecky, USA
Silver: Federica Pellegrini, ITA
Bronze: Michelle Coleman, SWE

John Lohn’s Picks:

Gold: Katie Ledecky, USA
Silver: Federica Pellegrini, ITA
Bronze: Emma McKeon, AUS

Andy Ross’ Picks:

Gold: Katie Ledecky, USA
Silver: Emma McKeon, AUS
Bronze: Charlotte Bonnet, FRA

Previous Events

Day One:

Day Two:

Day Three:

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YY
6 years ago

World Champion, Olympic gold medalist, World No. 1 – it is all in the name of Katie Ledecky. And no mentioning of this name in the record section ( world record, championships record, American record). It is so unusually not right. Time for change.

commonwombat
commonwombat
6 years ago

Ledecky unlikely to be challenged … end of that story

Minor medals …. that’s a bit of a minefield and will realistically depend on just how fast this race is for these positions. If they’re being swum at 1.55flat or below then it most likely narrows the field to the likes of Pellegrini, McKeon (who have demonstrated the capacity to swim those times on more than 1 occaission) and maybe one “break out” performer.

If they are being swum closer to 1.55 mid then it opens up considerably to the likes of Coleman (who has been swimming very well but I doubt has a sub 1.55), Ikee, Chinese & Smith.

Nefi Wole Abu
6 years ago

Ledecky!

Laura Subirana Moreno
6 years ago

John Lohn’s prediction ?

David Banks
David Banks
6 years ago

The American Record is wrong. It is a 1:53.61, not a 1:52.

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