FINA World Championships Predictions: Women’s 200 IM

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At the 2015 FINA World Championships, Katinka Hosszu won gold in the women’s 200 IM by more than two seconds. At the 2016 Olympics in Rio, the margin was just three tenths of a second.

Hosszu did go a touch slower in Rio, but only four tenths of a second. The big difference: Siobhan-Marie O’Connor dropping almost two seconds in the span of a year, becoming just the third woman ever to crack the 2:07-barrier.

O’Connor, at 21 years old, is more than six years younger than Hosszu, but she will have to deal with the partisan Hungarian crowd when the two face off again in Budapest.

Read below to see what Swimming World’s trio of experts think will happen in Budapest. David RiederJohn Lohn and Andy Ross will each offer their predictions for who will finish on the podium.

Women’s 200 IM

Current Records:

World Record: Katinka Hosszu, HUN (2015) — 2:06.12
Championship Record: Katinka Hosszu, HUN (2015) — 2:06.12
American Record: Ariana Kukors (2009) — 2:06.15

2015 World Champion: Katinka Hosszu, HUN — 2:06.15
2016 Olympic Gold Medalist: Katinka Hosszu, HUN — 2:06.58
2017 World No. 1: Katinka Hosszu, HUN — 2:08.49

Swimming World Predictions

David Rieder’s Picks:

Gold: Katinka Hosszu, HUN
Silver: Siobhan-Marie O’Connor, GBR
Bronze: Melanie Margalis, USA

John Lohn’s Picks:

Gold: Katinka Hosszu, HUN
Silver: Siobhan-Marie O’Connor, GBR
Bronze: Melanie Margalis, USA

Andy Ross’ Picks:

Gold: Katinka Hosszu, HUN
Silver: Siobhan-Marie O’Connor, GBR
Bronze: Sydney Pickrem, CAN

Previous Events

Day One:

Day Two:

2 Comments

2 comments

  1. avatar
    commonwombat

    Two immediate thoughts re this event.

    Firstly, Hosszu has not been swimming at her level of the previous years; granted those standards were at a completely different level to anyone else other than SMOC in this specific event.

    Secondly, no one else is swimming anything of particular note either.

    Barring unforseen, Hosszu has to be seen as a very solid favourite. SMOC’s performances this year have hardly been anything to write home to Mom about but she has to be respected as the most likely challenger. It will be a matter of who out of the current ruck of 2.09 mid-highs can potentially bridge the gap to the likely 2.07s/2.08lows that will most probably be required to podium.

    • avatar
      Kris

      Hosszu already met the qualification time for Budapest in Rio, so she has not been rested for almost a year now so you can´t read anything into her times – Hosszu in front 0f 15,000 partisan Hungarians, is a slam dunk for her 🙂

Author: David Rieder

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David Rieder is the host of Swimming World TV and a staff writer. A contributor to Swimming World since 2009, he has covered NCAA Championships, U.S. Nationals, Olympic Trials and the 2016 Olympic Games in Rio. He is a native of Charleston, S.C., and a 2016 graduate of Duke University.

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