{"id":592777,"date":"2024-07-31T06:25:08","date_gmt":"2024-07-31T13:25:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=592777"},"modified":"2024-08-03T11:36:11","modified_gmt":"2024-08-03T18:36:11","slug":"usa-swimming-has-a-problem-but-its-nowhere-near-the-medal-table","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/usa-swimming-has-a-problem-but-its-nowhere-near-the-medal-table\/","title":{"rendered":"USA Swimming Has a Problem, But It\u2019s Nowhere Near the Medal Table"},"content":{"rendered":"

USA Swimming Has a Problem, But It\u2019s Nowhere Near the Medal Table<\/strong><\/p>\n

(Note: This story has been updated to include the results of all eight finals sessions, ending Saturday.)<\/em><\/p>\n

The first night of finals last Saturday at the Paris La Defense Arena brought a familiar enough site for USA Swimming, with one gold and three total medals.<\/p>\n

The second day of prelims on Sunday brought a far rarer occurrence for a program that has long been at the vanguard of global swimming.<\/p>\n

Two American swimmers Sunday morning failed to make it out of their prelims heats for semifinals. Chris Guiliano<\/strong> faltered in the men\u2019s 200 freestyle, swimming 1:47.60 to finish 19th. Emma Weber<\/strong> went 1:07.65 to land in a tie for 23rd in the women\u2019s 100 breaststroke<\/a>. In between, reigning gold medalist Chase Kalisz<\/strong> finished a distant 11th in the men\u2019s 400 individual medley<\/a>, missing out on the top eight in an event that goes straight to finals.<\/p>\n

The U.S. would add three misses in the next two days, Luke Whitlock<\/strong> not making the men’s 800 free final in Monday’s prelims, Luca Urlando<\/strong> on Tuesday finishing 17th in the 200 butterfly and Katie Grimes<\/strong> falling to 10th in the 1500 free, a trend that would reach 11 swimmers failing to qualify from prelims overall.<\/p>\n

That is, by USA Swimming standards, a lot of misses, for the nation that perhaps more than even its medal potential reliably produces depth.<\/p>\n

Just how rare was it? Well, how about more than the last four Olympics combined<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Only one swimmer at each of the last four Olympics missed the top 16 for a prelims-semifinals-finals meet. It\u2019s not the club you want to be in: Andrew Wilson<\/strong> in the men\u2019s 100 breaststroke in Tokyo; Tom Shields<\/strong> in the men\u2019s 200 butterfly in Rio; Kara Lynn Joyce<\/strong> (via a three-way swim-off) in the women\u2019s 50 free in London; Amanda Beard<\/strong> in the 200 breast in Beijing.<\/p>\n

Through two days in Paris, the U.S. had already exceeded that count. And the hits kept coming until the end, Guiliano missing the 50 free semifinals, Thomas Heilman<\/strong> not getting even a second swim in the 100 fly and Simone Manuel<\/strong> bowing out of the 50 free shy of the 16-swimmer semifinals.<\/p>\n

The last time the U.S. had multiple swimmers not make semifinals of an event at the same Olympics was in 2004, via Jason Lezak<\/strong> and Ian Crocker<\/strong> in the 100 free and Kristen Caverly<\/strong> missed the 200 back.<\/p>\n

Kalisz and Grimes joined Kieran Smith,<\/strong> who didn\u2019t make the top eight in the men\u2019s 400 free, among Americans missing final in events that go straight there from prelims. It was a distance disaster for the men, with Smith in the 400, Whitlock in the 800 and David Johnston<\/strong> in the 1,500 all cratering.<\/p>\n

The only American to miss a final in such a format in the last two Games is Michael Brinegar,<\/strong> who did so twice in Tokyo. Americans went 12-for-12 in prelims-finals events in Rio and 14-for-16 in Tokyo. In Paris, they were 11-for-16. Five misses of finals is the most since the current format of swims was reinstated with the 2000 Olympics.<\/p>\n

The Olympics also hosted its first final since Rio in 2016 that doesn’t feature an American. That’ll be the 200 fly, with Urlando and Heilman, who was eliminated in semis. The same fate befell them in the 100 fly, with Heilman out in prelims and Caeleb Dressel<\/strong> in semifinals. You have to go back to the women’s 200 breaststroke in Rio for the last time that happened to the U.S.<\/p>\n

Many of the events are relay legs, which is slightly more worrisome. Guiliano was coming off the 400 free relay in which he won gold Saturday night<\/a>, splitting 47.33, second among the Americans. He recovered Tuesday morning to make semis in the 100 free and was a solid if not spectacular 1:46.74 on the 800 free relay that got the job done in prelims. That’s because Smith answered the call in the 800 free relay, as he always does, to help the U.S. take silver<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The sky has fallen before. See the Americans finishing fourth in the men’s 800 free relay in Tokyo but responding to win gold in Paris, or the debacle that was the mixed medley relay finishing fifth in Tokyo.<\/p>\n

The current trend may be more perniciously creeping and enduring. Eight of the 11 swims have been by men, the male side of the ledger dragging Team USA way down. European men’s swimming has been ascendant, from the emergence in the British program to Italy’s stroke depth to transcendent stars like Leon Marchand<\/strong> and David Popovici,<\/strong> even when women’s swimming has been more locked in the U.S.\/Australia duopoly. That breadth is eating into the American advantage, even if the medal table doesn’t always reflect it.<\/p>\n

It’s a worrying trend and one without an easy fix.<\/p>\n

Past prelims struggles<\/h4>\n

(Prelims-semifinals-finals individual events)<\/em><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Paris 2024:<\/strong> Emma Weber (women\u2019s 100 breast), Chris Giuliano (men\u2019s 200 free and 50 free), Luca Urlando (men’s 200 fly), Thomas Heilman (men’s 100 fly), Simone Manuel (women’s 50 free)<\/li>\n
  • Tokyo, 2021:<\/strong> Andrew Wilson (men\u2019s 200 breast)<\/li>\n
  • Rio, 2016:<\/strong> Tom Shields (men\u2019s 200 fly)<\/li>\n
  • London, 2012:<\/strong> Kara Lynn Joyce (women\u2019s 50 free)<\/li>\n
  • Beijing, 2008:<\/strong> Amanda Beard (women\u2019s 200 breast)<\/li>\n
  • Athens, 2004:<\/strong> Jason Lezak and Ian Crocker (both men\u2019s 100 free), Kristen Caverly (women\u2019s 200 back)<\/li>\n
  • Sydney, 2000:<\/strong> Pat Calhoun (men\u2019s 100 breast), Tom Wilkens (men\u2019s 200 breast), Courtney Shealy (women\u2019s 100 back), Staciana Stitts (women\u2019s 100 breast)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    (Prelims-finals individual events)<\/em><\/p>\n

      \n
    • Paris, 2024:<\/strong> Chase Kalisz (men\u2019s 400 IM), Kieran Smith (men\u2019s 400 free), Luke Whitlock (men’s 800 free), Katie Grimes (women’s 1,500 free), David Johnston (men’s 1,500 free)<\/li>\n
    • Tokyo, 2021:<\/strong> Michael Brinegar (men\u2019s 800 free, men\u2019s 1,500 free)<\/li>\n
    • Rio, 2016:<\/strong> None<\/li>\n
    • London, 2012:<\/strong> Andrew Gemmell (men\u2019s 1,500 free), Chloe Sutton (women\u2019s 400 free), Kate Ziegler (women\u2019s 800 free)<\/li>\n
    • Beijing, 2008:<\/strong> Peter Vanderkaay (men\u2019s 1,500 free), Kate Ziegler (women\u2019s 400 free and 800 free), Katie Hoff (women\u2019s 800 free)<\/li>\n
    • Athens, 2004:<\/strong> Erik Vendt (men\u2019s 1,500 free), Kayln Keller (women\u2019s 400 free), Katie Hoff (women\u2019s 400 IM)<\/li>\n
    • Sydney, 2000:<\/strong> None<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USA Swimming Has a Problem, But It\u2019s Nowhere Near the Medal Table (Note: This story has been updated to include the results of all eight finals sessions, ending Saturday.) The<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8367,"featured_media":589228,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,7],"tags":[70616,25490,123031,96509,56349,127681,53502,67770,131489,25400,125188],"class_list":["post-592777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-usa","tag-2024-olympic-games-coverage-paris","tag-chase-kalisz","tag-chris-guiliano","tag-david-johnston","tag-emma-weber","tag-katie-grimes","tag-kieran-smith","tag-luca-urlando","tag-luke-whitlock","tag-simone-manuel","tag-thomas-heilman"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\r\nUSA Swimming Has a Problem, But Not Near the Medal Table<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Two days into the Paris Olympics and USA Swimming has already had four swimmers miss finals, a major uptick over recent Olympics\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/usa-swimming-has-a-problem-but-its-nowhere-near-the-medal-table\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USA Swimming Has a Problem, But It\u2019s Nowhere Near the Medal Table\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Two days into the Paris Olympics and USA Swimming has already had four swimmers miss finals, a major uptick over recent Olympics\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/usa-swimming-has-a-problem-but-its-nowhere-near-the-medal-table\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Swimming World\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/SwimmingWorld\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-31T13:25:08+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-03T18:36:11+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/chris-guiliano-2024-Olympic-Trials-5993-Edit.jpg\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"750\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Matthew De George - 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