{"id":591063,"date":"2024-07-23T14:02:48","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T21:02:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=591063"},"modified":"2024-07-23T14:02:48","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T21:02:48","slug":"olympic-swimming-predictions-day-5-100-freestyle-finals-bookend-busy-middle-night","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/olympic-swimming-predictions-day-5-100-freestyle-finals-bookend-busy-middle-night\/","title":{"rendered":"Olympic Swimming Predictions, Day 5: 100 Freestyle Finals Bookend Busy Middle Night"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Olympic Swimming Predictions, Day 5: 100 Freestyle Finals Bookend Busy Middle Night<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><i>After one hundred years, the world\u2019s premier sporting event returns to Paris. The 2024 Summer Olympics will begin July 26, and there will be 329 events in 32 sports, with roughly 10,500 athletes from 184 countries. This year\u2019s Games mark the third time that Paris will have hosted the event, becoming only the second city to do so. Swimming\u2019s 35 pool events will begin on Saturday, July 27, and will continue for nine days through Aug. 4 at the Paris La D\u00e9fense Arena. Following is how Swimming World sees the action unfolding.<\/i><\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/meet\/2024-olympic-games-coverage-paris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Meet Page<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/olympics.com\/en\/paris-2024\/sports\/swimming\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">More Information<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/olympic-swimming-predictions-day-one-ariarne-titmus-favored-in-loaded-400-freestyle\/\">Day 1 Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/olympic-swimming-predictions-day-2-leon-marchand-heavily-favored-for-first-gold-medal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Day 2 Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/olympic-swimming-predictions-day-3-summer-mcintosh-david-popovici-to-claim-gold-medals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Day 3 Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/olympic-swimming-predictions-day-4-regan-smith-kaylee-mckeown-face-off-in-100-backstroke\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Day 4 Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><b>WOMEN\u2019S 100 FREESTYLE<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After <strong><b>Emma McKeon<\/b><\/strong> won gold for Australia three years ago in Tokyo, <strong><b>Mollie O\u2019Callaghan<\/b><\/strong> will try to succeed her atop the podium for the Dolphins. O\u2019Callaghan is the two-time world champion in the event, and last year she swam a mark of 52.07 to move to No. 7 all-time. But <strong><b>Siobhan Haughey<\/b><\/strong>, the silver medalist in Tokyo, has actually been quicker, going 52.02 on the World Cup circuit last fall to become the third-fastest woman ever.<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Marrit Steenbergen<\/b><\/strong> won the world title earlier this year, while <strong><b>Shayna Jack<\/b><\/strong>, the second Aussie in the field, is another all-time top-10 performer. Americans <strong><b>Torri Huske<\/b><\/strong> and <strong><b>Gretchen Walsh<\/b><\/strong> plus China\u2019s <strong><b>Yang Junxuan<\/b><\/strong> should be on the periphery of contention, while <strong><b>Sarah Sjostrom<\/b><\/strong> is a threat if she decides to add the 100 free back to her schedule this year.<strong><b>\u00a0<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><b>World Record: <\/b><\/strong>51.71r Sarah Sjostrom, SWE (Budapest 7-23-17)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>2024 World Rankings:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>52.26\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1. Marrit Steenbergen, NED (2-16)<br \/>\n52.27\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2. Mollie O\u2019Callaghan, AUS (4-17)<br \/>\n52.52\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a03. Meg Harris, AUS (6-14)<br \/>\n52.55\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 4. Siobhan Haughey, HKG (5-26)<br \/>\n52.57\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 6. Sarah Sjostrom, SWE (6-22)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Team USA:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>52.90\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 9. Torri Huske (6-18)<br \/>\n53.13\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 14. Gretchen Walsh (6-19)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Gold:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Mollie O\u2019Callaghan, Australia<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Silver:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Siobhan Haughey, Hong Kong<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Bronze:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Marrit Steenbergen, Netherlands<\/i><\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><b>MEN\u2019S 200 BUTTERFLY<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If <strong><b>Kristof Milak<\/b><\/strong> can replicate anything close to his best form, he will win gold here. The defending champion set a world record of 1:50.34 at the 2022 World Championships, but he was absent from international racing in 2023. He has returned and posted some quick times thus far in 2024, but <strong><b>Leon Marchand<\/b><\/strong> will be hard to beat. The Frenchman moved to third all-time in the event behind Milak and <strong><b>Michael Phelps<\/b><\/strong> (1:51.51) while capturing the 2023 world title in 1:52.43.<\/p>\n<p>Poland\u2019s <strong><b>Krzysztof Chmielewski<\/b><\/strong> and Japan\u2019s <strong><b>Tomoru Honda<\/b><\/strong> joined Marchand on the podium last year, and Honda was the world champion earlier this year. Teenagers <strong><b>Ilya Kharun<\/b><\/strong> (Canada) and <strong><b>Thomas Heilman<\/b><\/strong> (USA) should be in contention after the fast-finishing duo nearly stole medals at last year\u2019s Worlds before tying for fourth.<strong><b>\u00a0<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><b>World Record: <\/b><\/strong>1:50.34 Kristof Milak, HUN (Budapest 6-21-22)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>2024 World Rankings:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>1:53.88\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1. Tomoru Honda, JPN (2-14)<br \/>\n1:53.94\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2. Kristof Milak, HUN (6-1)<br \/>\n1:54.07\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 3. Genki Terakado, JPN (3-21)<br \/>\n1:54.08\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 4. Leon Marchand, FRA (6-19)<br \/>\n1:54.34\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 5. Giacomo Carini, ITA (6-22)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Team USA:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>1:54.50\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 7. Thomas Heilman (6-19)<br \/>\n1:54.64\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 9. Luca Urlando (6-18)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Gold:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Kristof Milak, Hungary<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Silver:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Leon Marchand, France<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Bronze:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Tomoru Honda, Japan<\/i><\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><b>WOMEN\u2019S 1500 FREESTYLE<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_588297\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-588297\" data-attachment-id=\"588297\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/olympic-swimming-predictions-day-5-100-freestyle-finals-bookend-busy-middle-night\/katie-ledecky-293\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1000,750\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;4.5&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Peter H. Bick&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;OM-1MarkII&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;katie-ledecky-&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1718676605&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;\\u00a9Peter H. Bick&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;272&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;800&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.002&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;katie-ledecky-&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"katie-ledecky-\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Photo Courtesy: Peter H. Bick&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit-700x500.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit.jpg\" class=\"wp-image-588297 size-medium-small\" src=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit-450x338.jpg\" alt=\"katie-ledecky-\" width=\"450\" height=\"338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit-450x338.jpg 450w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit-267x200.jpg 267w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit-533x400.jpg 533w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/katie-ledecky-2024-Olympic-Trials-3467-Edit.jpg 1000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-588297\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Katie Ledecky &#8212; Photo Courtesy: Peter H. Bick<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The 30-lap race is <strong><b>Katie Ledecky\u2019s<\/b><\/strong> best event, and the winner of the inaugural Olympic gold in the event three years ago will not be beaten here. Ledecky owns the world record at 15:20.48, but even though she was well short of that time at the U.S. Olympic Trials (15:37.35), she still posted a time nearly 10 seconds quicker than any other swimmer has notched in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Italy\u2019s <strong><b>Simona Quadarella<\/b><\/strong> has captured four World Championship medals in this event, including golds in Ledecky\u2019s absence in 2019 and 2024, so she could reach the podium here, while China\u2019s <strong><b>Li Bingjie<\/b><\/strong> is also a multi-time Worlds medalist in this event. Germany\u2019s <strong><b>Isabel Gose<\/b><\/strong>, Australia\u2019s <strong><b>Lani Pallister<\/b><\/strong> and <strong><b>Moesha Johnson<\/b><\/strong>, France\u2019s <strong><b>Anastasiia Kirpichnikova<\/b><\/strong> and the United States\u2019 <strong><b>Katie Grimes<\/b><\/strong> have also broken 16:00 this year.<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>World Record: <\/b><\/strong>15:20.48 Katie Ledecky, USA (Indianapolis 5-16-18)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>2024 World Rankings:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>15:46.99\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2. Simona Quadarella, ITA (2-13)<br \/>\n15:50.56\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 3. Isabel Gose, GER (6-21)<br \/>\n15:53.79\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 4. Lani Pallister, AUS (6-15)<br \/>\n15:56.62\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 5. Li Bingjie, CHN (2-13)<br \/>\n15:56.92\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 6. Anastasiia Kirpichnikova, FRA (5-25)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Team USA:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>15:37.35\u00a0 \u00a0 1. Katie Ledecky (6-19)<br \/>\n15:57.77\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 7. Katie Grimes (6-19)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Gold:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Katie Ledecky, USA<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Silver:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Simona Quadarella, Italy<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Bronze:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Li Bingjie, China<\/i><\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><b>MEN\u2019S 200 BREASTSTROKE<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>At last year\u2019s World Championships, <strong><b>Qin Haiyang<\/b><\/strong> took down Olympic champion <strong><b>Zac Stubblety-Cook<\/b><\/strong> to win gold in the 200 breast and take away the Australian\u2019s world record, becoming the first swimmer ever under 2:06 in the process. This year, Qin and Stubblety-Cook will be back along with a host of challengers.<\/p>\n<p>American rookie <strong><b>Matt Fallon<\/b><\/strong>, the bronze medalist at the 2023 Worlds, and Japan\u2019s <strong><b>Ippei Watanabe<\/b><\/strong>, a former world record holder, have both clocked 2:06s so far this year, with Japan\u2019s <strong><b>Yu Hanaguruma<\/b><\/strong>, Stubblety-Cook and China\u2019s <strong><b>Dong Zhihao<\/b><\/strong> all going 2:07s.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <strong><b>Leon Marchand<\/b><\/strong> is likely to throw his name into the mix, even if that means a double after the 200 fly. Marchand has never raced a breaststroke event at a major meet, but he excels in the stroke within the IM, and during his college career, he has become the fastest swimmer ever in the short course 200-yard breaststroke.<strong><b>\u00a0<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><b>World Record: <\/b><\/strong>2:05.48 Qin Haiyang, CHN (Fukuoka 7-28-23)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>2024 World Rankings:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>2:06.94\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2. Ippei Watanabe, JPN (3-21)<br \/>\n2:07.07\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 3. Yu Hanaguruma, JPN (3-21)<br \/>\n2:07.40\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 4. Zac Stubblety-Cook, AUS (6-14)<br \/>\n2:07.48\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 5. Kirill Prigoda, RUS (4-17)<br \/>\n2:07.75\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 6. Yamato Fukasawa, JPN (3-21)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Team USA:<br \/>\n<\/b><\/strong>2:06.54\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1. Matt Fallon, USA (6-19)<br \/>\n2:08.79\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 13. Josh Matheny (6-18)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Gold:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Qin Haiyang, China<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Silver:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Leon Marchand, France<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Bronze:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Matt Fallon, USA<\/i><\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><b>MEN\u2019S 100 FREESTYLE<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It could take a time under 47 seconds to reach the podium in the blue-ribbon event, and two men have already gone that fast this year. China\u2019s <strong><b>Pan Zhanle<\/b><\/strong> broke the world record at the World Championships in February with a time of 46.80, but last month, Romania\u2019s <strong><b>David Popovici<\/b><\/strong> fired back with a 46.88, just 2-hundredths off his previous world mark set in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Australia\u2019s <strong><b>Kyle Chalmers<\/b><\/strong> will try to reclaim the gold he first won in Rio eight years ago, and while defending champion <strong><b>Caeleb Dressel<\/b><\/strong> did not qualify for the U.S. team, the Americans will send two quickly-improving stars in <strong><b>Jack Alexy<\/b><\/strong> and <strong><b>Chris Guiliano<\/b><\/strong>. France\u2019s <strong><b>Maxime Grousset<\/b><\/strong>, Hungary\u2019s <strong><b>Nandor Nemeth<\/b><\/strong> and Canada\u2019s <strong><b>Josh Liendo<\/b><\/strong> all look like major threats.<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>World Record: <\/b><\/strong>46.80r Pan Zhanle, CHN (Doha 2-11-24)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>2024 World Rankings:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>46.80\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a01. Pan Zhanle, CHN (2-11)<br \/>\n46.88\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2. David Popovici, ROU (6-19)<br \/>\n47.33\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a05. Maxime Grousset, FRA (6-18)<br \/>\n47.49\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a06. Nandor Nemeth, HUN (6-19)<br \/>\n47.55\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a08. Josh Liendo, CAN (5-16)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Team USA:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>47.08\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 3. Jack Alexy, USA (6-18)<br \/>\n47.25\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a05. Chris Guiliano, USA (6-18)<\/p>\n<p><strong><b>Gold:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>David Popovici, Romania<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Silver:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Pan Zhanle, China<br \/>\n<\/i><\/em><strong><b>Bronze:<\/b><\/strong> <em><i>Kyle Chalmers, Australia<\/i><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Olympic Swimming Predictions, Day 5: 100 Freestyle Finals Bookend Busy Middle Night After one hundred years, the world\u2019s premier sporting event returns to Paris. The 2024 Summer Olympics will begin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":574485,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[70616,128885,25031,63461,34442,77336,61119,52048,20750,77839,89833,63468,40417,34412,126523,66581],"class_list":["post-591063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-world","tag-2024-olympic-games-coverage-paris","tag-david-popovici","tag-katie-ledecky","tag-kristof-milak","tag-kyle-chalmers","tag-leon-marchand","tag-li-bingjie","tag-marrit-steenbergen","tag-matt-fallon","tag-mollie-ocallaghan","tag-pan-zhanle","tag-qin-haiyang","tag-simona-quadarella","tag-siobhan-haughey","tag-tomoru-honda","tag-zac-stubblety-cook"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - 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