{"id":530013,"date":"2023-06-23T15:02:44","date_gmt":"2023-06-23T22:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=530013"},"modified":"2023-06-27T05:48:27","modified_gmt":"2023-06-27T12:48:27","slug":"u-s-nationals-day-one-predictions-speed-needed-to-maintain-400-free-relay-winning-streak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/u-s-nationals-day-one-predictions-speed-needed-to-maintain-400-free-relay-winning-streak\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Nationals Day One Predictions: Caeleb Dressel Returns; Speed Needed to Maintain 400 Free Relay Winning Streak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>U.S. Nationals Day One Predictions: Speed Needed to Maintain 400 Free Relay Winning Streak<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The most consequential swim meet in the United States begins Tuesday in Indianapolis, with USA Swimming returning the annual event to the IUPUI Natatorium for the first time since 2017 while preparing for next year&#8217;s larger-scale Olympic Trials to take place a few blocks away at Lucas Oil Stadium. This year&#8217;s meet will serve as the qualifier for the World Championships in Fukuoka, Japan, with elite swimmers eager for international racing experience as a dress rehearsal for the Paris Olympics.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/meet\/2023-us-national-championships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Meet Page<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/results\/pdf\/2023-us-nationals-psych-sheet-usa-senior-national-2023-06-27.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Psych Sheet<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.omegatiming.com\/2023\/phillips-66-national-championships-live-results\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Results<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usaswimming.org\/event\/2023\/06\/27\/default-calendar\/Phillips-66-National-Championships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Full Meet Information<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Six events are set for day one, with the women&#8217;s and men&#8217;s 200 butterfly, the women&#8217;s and men&#8217;s 100 freestyle, the women&#8217;s 800 freestyle and men&#8217;s 1500 freestyle. Fresh off <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/regan-smith-cracks-longstanding-american-record-in-200-butterfly-at-sun-devil-open-moves-to-no-4-all-time\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an American record earlier this month<\/a>, <strong>Regan Smith<\/strong> is the favorite in the women&#8217;s 200 fly while the American men are still looking for their first international medalist since\u00a0<strong>Michael Phelps&#8217;\u00a0<\/strong>retirement in the men&#8217;s 200 fly. Reigning Olympic champions <strong>Katie Ledecky<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Bobby Finke<\/strong> highlight their respective distance races.<\/p>\n<p>The 100 free, meanwhile, has a little extra at stake with spots on the line for the 400 freestyle relays in Fukuoka. The American women have not captured a global title in the event since 2017, but the men have been golden at every major meet going back to the 2016 Olympics. That winning streak corresponds exactly to\u00a0<strong>Caeleb Dressel&#8217;s\u00a0<\/strong>tenure as the leadoff swimmer on this relay.<\/p>\n<p>Dressel led off a team including <strong>Michael Phelps<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Ryan Held<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Nathan Adrian<\/strong> at the 2016 Olympics, and for most of the time since, he has been the world&#8217;s best 100 freestyler. On various first-place relays, Dressel has teamed with <strong>Townley Haas<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Blake Pieroni<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Zach Apple<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Bowe Becker<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Justin Ress<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Brooks Curry<\/strong> in addition to return appearances by Adrian and Held.<\/p>\n<p>But the past year has been a far different one for Dressel after he departed last year&#8217;s Worlds early with health concerns, took an extended break from training and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/caeleb-dressel-in-solid-position-after-his-first-meet-back\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">only returned to competition in May<\/a>. It&#8217;s unclear what to expect from Dressel at Nationals: he is unlikely to be close to his best times, but even a less-than-100% Dressel is a huge boost to American relays.<\/p>\n<p>With or without Dressel, the Americans need some fast 100 free times to fill out a gold-medal-caliber relay. International rivals are looming: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/australian-men-again-assemble-medal-contending-freestyle-relays\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Australia has a mighty 1-2 punch with\u00a0<strong>Kyle Chalmers<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Flynn Southam<\/strong><\/a>, and Italy, Great Britain and other countries could pose a threat. The only swimmers in this year&#8217;s field to ever break 48 are Dressel, Curry and Held. Curry went 47.90 to sneak into the 100 free final at last year&#8217;s Worlds, but he has yet to record any scorching swims so far this year while Held has not broken the barrier since 2019.<\/p>\n<p>Seventeen swimmers are listed on the psych sheet with entry times under 49.00, and it seems likely that Ress, <strong>Drew Kibler<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Hunter Armstrong<\/strong> will be in the mix after qualifying for Worlds last year. Can the versatile <strong>Shaine Casas<\/strong> make a run in this race? Is\u00a0<strong>Matt King<\/strong> capable of backing up his strong efforts from last year before missing most of the college season at the University of Virginia?<\/p>\n<p>From the college ranks, Arizona State&#8217;s\u00a0<strong>Jonny Kulow<\/strong> and Cal&#8217;s\u00a0<strong>Jack Alexy<\/strong> were both impressive this year, and while\u00a0<strong>Destin Lasco<\/strong> is known for his successes in the individual medley and backstroke events at the NCAA Championships, perhaps the 100 free is his ticket onto the international scene. And we cannot forget about teenager\u00a0<strong>Kaii Winkler<\/strong> as a possibility as he has been on a run of National Age Group records this year. Can any of these men improve enough to provide a relay boost?<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Day One Predictions:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Women&#8217;s 200 Butterfly<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Regan Smith<\/li>\n<li>Hali Flickinger<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Men&#8217;s 200 Butterfly<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Carson Foster<\/li>\n<li>Gabriel Jett<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Women&#8217;s 100 Freestyle<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Torri Huske<\/li>\n<li>Abbey Weitzeil<\/li>\n<li>Claire Curzan<\/li>\n<li>Gretchen Walsh<\/li>\n<li>Natalie Hinds<\/li>\n<li>Erika Brown<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Men&#8217;s 100 Freestyle<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Ryan Held<\/li>\n<li>Brooks Curry<\/li>\n<li>Hunter Armstrong<\/li>\n<li>Caeleb Dressel<\/li>\n<li>Shaine Casas<\/li>\n<li>Jack Alexy<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Women&#8217;s 800 Freestyle<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Katie Ledecky<\/li>\n<li>Katie Grimes<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Men&#8217;s 1500 Freestyle<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Bobby Finke<\/li>\n<li>Will Gallant<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. Nationals Day One Predictions: Speed Needed to Maintain 400 Free Relay Winning Streak The most consequential swim meet in the United States begins Tuesday in Indianapolis, with USA Swimming<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":523434,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,122077,17,7],"tags":[131886,132678,72820,69986,35724,71204,28605,25031,45350,32355],"class_list":["post-530013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-americas","category-commentary","category-usa","tag-2023-u-s-nationals","tag-2023-us-national-championships","tag-bobby-finke","tag-brooks-curry","tag-caeleb-dressel","tag-hunter-armstrong","tag-justin-ress","tag-katie-ledecky","tag-regan-smith","tag-ryan-held"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>US Nationals Day One: Speed Needed to Maintain 400 Free Relay Streak<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The first day of U.S. Nationals will include the women&#039;s and men&#039;s 200 fly, women&#039;s and men&#039;s 100 free, women&#039;s 800 free and men&#039;s 1500 free.\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/u-s-nationals-day-one-predictions-speed-needed-to-maintain-400-free-relay-winning-streak\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"U.S. Nationals Day One Predictions: Caeleb Dressel Returns; Speed Needed to Maintain 400 Free Relay Winning Streak\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The first day of U.S. Nationals will include the women&#039;s and men&#039;s 200 fly, women&#039;s and men&#039;s 100 free, women&#039;s 800 free and men&#039;s 1500 free.\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/u-s-nationals-day-one-predictions-speed-needed-to-maintain-400-free-relay-winning-streak\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Swimming World\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/SwimmingWorld\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-06-23T22:02:44+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-27T12:48:27+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/ryan-held-2023-TYR-Pro-Ft.Lauderdale-0148-Edit.jpg\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"750\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"David Rieder - Senior Writer\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@David_Rieder\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@swimmingworld\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"David Rieder - Senior Writer\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/u-s-nationals-day-one-predictions-speed-needed-to-maintain-400-free-relay-winning-streak\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/u-s-nationals-day-one-predictions-speed-needed-to-maintain-400-free-relay-winning-streak\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"David Rieder - Senior Writer\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/610dd0484edf5c4dba59e62a7e5b89af\"},\"headline\":\"U.S. Nationals Day One Predictions: Caeleb Dressel Returns; 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