{"id":482010,"date":"2021-07-22T15:15:39","date_gmt":"2021-07-22T22:15:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=482010"},"modified":"2021-07-29T02:22:33","modified_gmt":"2021-07-29T09:22:33","slug":"tokyo-olympic-predictions-on-day-six-michael-andrew-will-carry-banner-in-200-medley","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/tokyo-olympic-predictions-on-day-six-michael-andrew-will-carry-banner-in-200-medley\/","title":{"rendered":"Tokyo Olympic Predictions: On Day Six, Michael Andrew Will Carry Banner in 200 Medley"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tokyo Olympic Predictions: On Day Six, Michael Andrew Will Carry Banner in 200 Medley<\/strong><\/p>\n

Can Australia place two women on the podium in the 100-meter freestyle? Who will follow Michael Phelps as the new champion of the 200 individual medley? Which athlete will emerge victorious in a tightly packed women’s 200 breaststroke? These are just a few of the questions that will be asked ahead of the Day Six finals at the Olympic Games in Tokyo<\/a>. Here is who Swimming World selected to stand on the podium. These picks were made prior to the start of the Games.<\/p>\n

Editor\u2019s Note:<\/strong> Tokyo is 13 hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time (e.g., New York) and 16 hours ahead of Pacific Daylight Time (e.g., Los Angeles). This year\u2019s Olympic finals (and semifinals) will be swum at Tokyo in the morning, with prelims swum the previous evening. So, for a finals session beginning at 10:30 a.m. Japan Standard Time on Friday morning, July 30, that would be 9:30 p.m. EDT (6:30 p.m. PDT) on Thursday evening, July 29.<\/p>\n

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Day Six Finals<\/h3>\n

Friday, July 30
\n(10:30 a.m. – 12:10 p.m. Japan Standard Time)<\/p>\n

Women’s 200 Breaststroke<\/h3>\n

World Record:<\/strong> Rikke Moller Pederson, Denmark – Barcelona 8-1-13 – 2:19.11
\n2016 Olympic Champion:<\/strong> Rie Kaneto, Japan – 2:20.30<\/p>\n

\"tatjana-schoenmaker,

Tatjana Schoenmaker — Photo Courtesy: Becca Wyant<\/p><\/div>\n

There are races that are close on paper. Then there\u2019s the women\u2019s 200 breast, which is downright congested. In the last two years, six swimmers have posted times within 1.5 seconds of each other, led by Tatjana Schoenmaker\u2019s<\/strong> 2:20.17 in April. Any of the seven could find themselves atop the podium.<\/p>\n

Unlike the 100 breast, where Lilly King<\/strong> enters as the marked\u2014if not untouchable\u2014favorite, the field is much more open. King is a contender, as is American\/Indiana teammate Annie Lazor<\/strong>. Molly Renshaw<\/strong> and Abbie Wood<\/strong> are in the picture for Great Britain. Kanako Watanabe is likely to factor in for the host country, and Canada\u2019s duo of Kelsey Wog<\/strong> and Sydney Pickrem<\/strong> were both finalists at the last Worlds.<\/p>\n

So, how to separate it all? Wait for three busy days of racing in Tokyo.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Tatjana Schoenmaker, South Africa
\nSilver:<\/strong> Molly Renshaw, Great Britain
\nBronze:<\/strong> Annie Lazor, USA<\/p>\n

Men’s 200 Backstroke<\/h3>\n

World Record:<\/strong> Aaron Piersol, USA – Rome 7-31-09 – 1:51.92
\n2016 Olympic Champion:<\/strong> Ryan Murphy, USA – 1:53.62<\/p>\n

\"ryan-murphy-\"

Photo Courtesy: Peter H. Bick<\/p><\/div>\n

Defending Olympic gold medalist Ryan Murphy<\/strong> had a dominating U.S. Olympic Trials, taking the top spot in both backstroke events for the second consecutive Olympic qualifying meet. He heads to Tokyo as the second-fastest in the world this year at 1:54.20. Russian world champion Evgeny Rylov<\/strong> has the top time at 1:53.23, making the showdown greatly anticipated.<\/p>\n

Two more swimmers have been sub-1:55 in 2021, with Luke Greenbank<\/strong> of Great Britain clocking a 1:54.43 and USA\u2019s Bryce Mefford<\/strong> a 1:54.79 to take the second spot on the American team. Meanwhile, Japan\u2019s Ryosuke Irie<\/strong> will look to make a splash in his home country.<\/p>\n

The U.S. has a long history in the men\u2019s backstroke\u2014six Olympic gold medals in a row in both the 100 and 200…ever since 1996\u2014and Murphy is the latest to hold that torch. But this will be the toughest race of his international career, and he will have to be at his best if he wants to hold off Rylov.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Ryan Murphy, USA
\nSilver:<\/strong> Evgeny Rylov, Russia
\nBronze:<\/strong> Luke Greenbank, Great Britain<\/p>\n

Women’s 100 Freestyle<\/h3>\n

World Record:<\/strong> Sarah Sjostrom, Sweden – Budapest 7-23-17 – 51.71
\n2016 Olympic Co-Champions:<\/strong> Penny Oleksiak, Canada & Simone Manuel, USA – 52.70<\/p>\n

\"EMMA

Photo Courtesy:<\/p><\/div>\n

The women\u2019s 100 free will be without a key player with co-defending champion and two-time world champion Simone Manuel<\/strong> missing the U.S. team in the event. World record holder and 2016 bronze medalist Sarah Sjostrom<\/strong> is still working her way back into form after an elbow fracture cost her months of training time. But with the way Emma McKeon<\/strong> is swimming this year, she might be favored for gold anyway.<\/p>\n

McKeon became the sixth-fastest performer in history this year when she swam a 52.19 at Australia\u2019s Olympic Trials, and countrywoman Cate Campbell<\/strong> (No. 2 all-time) is the second-quickest swimmer in 2021 at 52.59. Penny Oleksiak<\/strong> broke 53 earlier this year for the first time since tying Manuel for gold in 2016, and look for Dutch swimmers Femke Heemskerk<\/strong> and Ranomi<\/strong> Kromowidjojo<\/strong> (the 2012 gold medalist), China\u2019s Yang Junxuan<\/strong>, Britain\u2019s Freya Anderson<\/strong> and the USA\u2019s Abbey Weitzeil<\/strong> to be among those also contending for the podium.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Emma McKeon, Australia
\nSilver:<\/strong> Cate Campbell, Australia
\nBronze:<\/strong> Penny Oleksiak, Canada<\/p>\n

Men’s 200 Individual Medley<\/h3>\n

World Record:<\/strong> Ryan Lochte, USA – Shanghai 7-28-11 – 1:54.00
\n2016 Olympic Champion:<\/strong> Michael Phelps, USA – 1:54.66<\/p>\n

The United States has long dominated the IM events at the Olympic Games. In 2016, Japan\u2019s Kosuke Hagino<\/strong> snapped the Americans\u2019 streak in the 400 IM that dated to 1996, while the 200 IM streak began in 2004 with Michael Phelps<\/strong> winning the last four.<\/p>\n

Flash forward to 2021, and with no Phelps or Ryan Lochte<\/strong>, the 200 IM is wide open. But enter 22-year-old Michael Andrew<\/strong>, who will validate his swimming career with an Olympic appearance. Andrew has been flirting with Lochte\u2019s world record all year, but he did not have a fast-enough freestyle<\/a> to close out his race at the Olympic Trials.<\/p>\n

\"Daiya

Photo Courtesy: Delly Carr<\/p><\/div>\n

It is no secret Andrew will set the pace, and it may just leave everyone else disoriented and out of the gold medal race if he is to demolish everyone on the front half by turning a second under world-record pace. That could potentially leave the field scrambling on the freestyle leg, but nobody has been able to put up four solid 50s in the 200 IM quite like Japan\u2019s Daiya Seto<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Seto was the 2019 world champ and looked to be the man to beat in his home country. And he may still hold that mantle, but does he have the strength and speed to match Andrew? He has only been a 1:57.4 this season, while Great Britain\u2019s Duncan Scott<\/strong> and Australia\u2019s Mitch Larkin<\/strong>, who relatively recently picked up this event at the international level, sit behind Andrew in the world rankings at second and third. The other American, Chase Kalisz<\/strong>, is also lurking.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Michael Andrew, USA
\nSilver:<\/strong> Daiya Seto, Japan
\nBronze:<\/strong> Duncan Scott, Great Britain<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tokyo Olympic Predictions: On Day Six, Michael Andrew Will Carry Banner in 200 Medley Can Australia place two women on the podium in the 100-meter freestyle? Who will follow Michael<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59119,"featured_media":478272,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[34385,35486,37348,26550,27538,37159,42783,25824,6302,26833,237,25269,32196,34958,695],"class_list":["post-482010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-world","tag-2020-tokyo-olympic-games","tag-abbie-wood","tag-annie-lazor","tag-cate-campbell","tag-emma-mckeon","tag-evgeny-rylov","tag-lilly-king","tag-michael-andrew","tag-michael-phelps","tag-molly-renshaw","tag-olympic-games","tag-ryan-murphy","tag-sarah-sjostrom","tag-tatjana-schoenmaker","tag-tokyo"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\r\nTokyo 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