{"id":481909,"date":"2021-07-21T06:26:45","date_gmt":"2021-07-21T13:26:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=481909"},"modified":"2021-07-25T02:51:47","modified_gmt":"2021-07-25T09:51:47","slug":"tokyo-olympic-predictions-in-day-two-adam-peaty-is-slam-dunk-choice-in-100-breaststroke","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/tokyo-olympic-predictions-in-day-two-adam-peaty-is-slam-dunk-choice-in-100-breaststroke\/","title":{"rendered":"Tokyo Olympic Predictions: In Day Two, Adam Peaty is Slam-Dunk Choice in 100 Breaststroke"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tokyo Olympic Predictions: In Day Two, Adam Peaty is Slam-Dunk Choice in 100 Breaststroke<\/strong><\/p>\n

Now that the Tokyo Olympics<\/a> are here, it\u2019s time to see who might win medals in the 35 swimming events\u2014three more than in 2016, with the debut of the women\u2019s 1500 freestyle, men\u2019s 800 freestyle and the mixed 4×100 medley relay. Here is Swimming World\u2019s Day Two analysis, which was picked before the meet started.<\/p>\n

Editor\u2019s Note:<\/strong> Tokyo is 13 hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time (e.g., New York) and 16 hours ahead of Pacific Daylight Time (e.g., Los Angeles). This year\u2019s Olympic finals (and semifinals) will be swum at Tokyo<\/a> in the morning, with prelims swum the previous evening. So, for a finals session beginning at 10:30 a.m. Japan Standard Time on Monday morning, July 26, that would be 9:30 p.m. EDT (6:30 p.m. PDT) on Sunday evening, July 25.<\/p>\n

Click Here To Download All Eight Days of Predictions For FREE<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Day Two Finals<\/h2>\n

Monday, July 26
\n(10:30 a.m. – 12:40 p.m. Japan Standard Time)<\/p>\n

Women’s 100 Butterfly<\/h3>\n

World Record and 2016 Olympic Champion: Sarah Sjostrom, Sweden\u2014Rio de Janeiro (8-7-16) – 55.48<\/p>\n

No 100 fly final has ever seen multiple women break the 56-second barrier, but expect a scorching fast race in Tokyo. Three swimmers have already been under 56 this year: USA\u2019s Torri Huske<\/strong>, China\u2019s Zhang Yufei<\/strong> and Australia\u2019s Emma McKeon<\/strong>\u2014all who have a realistic shot to reach the podium.<\/p>\n

Huske was extremely impressive at the U.S. Olympic Trials, swimming a 55.66 to finish less than .20 off the world record. Zhang has burst onto the scene with 55-second swims in late 2020 and in the spring of 2021, and McKeon has been a consistent podium presence in the 100 fly at the last two World Championships.<\/p>\n

\"Olympic

Maggie MacNeil; Photo Courtesy: Scott Grant\/Swimming Canada<\/p><\/div>\n

But the pick here is Maggie MacNeil<\/strong>, ranked fourth in the world at 56.14, but less than two years removed from stunning the world by upsetting Sarah Sjostrom<\/strong> to win the 2019 world title. MacNeil did not have to swim at her best to qualify for Canada\u2019s Olympic team, so expect a huge Tokyo performance, particularly after she produced the fastest time ever in the 100-yard fly in capturing the NCAA championship earlier this year.<\/p>\n

Sjostrom, meanwhile, is the defending champion and world-record holder, but after fracturing her elbow earlier this year, she is a question mark. Her season-best time is a 57.65, so she faces an uphill battle to get on the podium.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Maggie MacNeil, Canada
\nSilver:<\/strong> Torri Huske, USA
\nBronze:<\/strong> Zhang Yufei, China<\/p>\n

Men’s 100 Breaststroke<\/h3>\n

World Record:<\/strong> Adam Peaty, Great Britain – Gwangju 7-21-19 – 56.88
\n2016 Olympic Champion:<\/strong> Adam Peaty, Great Britain – 57.13<\/p>\n

\"adam-peaty--london-roar-\"

Photo Courtesy: Mine Kasapoglu \/ ISL<\/p><\/div>\n

If Great Britain’s Adam Peaty<\/strong> does what Adam Peaty usually does, everyone else is swimming for silver. The British star<\/a> isn\u2019t just aiming for a gold medal. He\u2019s swimming to solidify his place as possibly the greatest men\u2019s breaststroker in history. Double Olympic gold would just about do it, given his pedigree.<\/p>\n

Beyond Peaty, there are plenty of challengers in the 58-range. Michael Andrew<\/strong> was outstanding at the U.S. Olympic Trials, but will have a busier schedule in Tokyo than most breaststrokers. Dutchman Arno Kamminga<\/strong> is the only other man to be sub-58, and will be joined by another European, Italy’s Nicolo Martinenghi, in the chase for the podium.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Adam Peaty, Great Britain
\nSilver:<\/strong> Michael Andrew, USA
\nBronze:<\/strong> Arno Kamminga, Netherlands<\/p>\n

Women’s 400 Freestyle<\/h3>\n

World Record and 2016 Olympic Champion:<\/strong> Katie Ledecky, USA – Rio de Janeiro (8-7-16) – 3:56.46<\/p>\n

\"TITMUS\"

Photo Courtesy: Delly Carr\/Swimming Australia<\/p><\/div>\n

Barring a surprising development, the battle for Olympic gold will be a two-woman duel between American Katie Ledecky<\/strong>, the reigning champ, and Australian upstart Ariarne Titmus<\/strong>. When the women clashed at the 2019 World Championships, Titmus upset Ledecky, who was dealing with a stomach virus that left her in less-than-optimal form. At the Australian Olympic Trials, Titmus scared the world record with a mark of 3:56.90. Ledecky was only 4:01.27 at the U.S. Trials, but a big drop is expected in Tokyo.<\/p>\n

China\u2019s Li Bingjie<\/strong> has been 4:02 this year and will challenge for the podium, along with Italy\u2019s Simona Quadarella<\/strong>. Although stronger in the 800 freestyle and 1500 freestyle, Quadarella cannot be discounted over eight laps.<\/p>\n

An interesting storyline is Canada\u2019s Summer McIntosh<\/strong>, a 14-year-old phenom who was 4:05-low in May and is on a huge improvement curve. The youngster, with range from the 200 distance through the 1500, has the potential to drop even more time and enter the mix for the bronze medal.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Katie Ledecky, USA
\nSilver:<\/strong> Ariarne Titmus, Australia
\nBronze:<\/strong> Summer McIntosh, Canada<\/p>\n

Men’s 400 Freestyle Relay<\/h3>\n

World Record:<\/strong> United States (Michael Phelps, Garrett Weber-Gale, Cullen Jones, Jason Lezak) – Beijing (8-11-08) – 3:08.24
\n2016 Olympic Champion:<\/strong> United States (Caeleb Dressel, Michael Phelps, Ryan Held, Nathan Adrian) – 3:09.92<\/p>\n

One cannot mention the men\u2019s 4×100 free relay at the Olympics without first mentioning the United States, winner of nine of the 12 gold medals in this event at the Games\u2014the last coming in 2016.<\/p>\n

\"caeleb-dressel-\"

Photo Courtesy: Peter H. Bick<\/p><\/div>\n

This Olympiad, however, Team USA is without the leadership of Michael Phelps<\/strong> and Nathan Adrian<\/strong>, and will need to rely on 24-year-old Caeleb Dressel<\/strong> to lead the team to a gold medal this time around. Behind Dressel is Olympic rookie Zach Apple<\/strong>, who has been known to step up on relays, along with two-time Olympian Blake Pieroni<\/strong>, and rising upstart Brooks Curry<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

On paper, Russia looks to be the team to beat with world No. 2 Kliment Kolesnikov<\/strong> (47.31) and Olympic rookies Andrei Minakov<\/strong> and Vladislav Grinev<\/strong>, who both reached the podium individually at the 2019 Worlds with Minakov garnering silver in the 100 fly and Grinev bronze in the 100 free. Add in three-time Olympian Vladimir Morozov<\/strong>, and Russia\u2019s speedy quarter is faster than the United States with flat-start times added up.<\/p>\n

Dressel and Apple are relay stalwarts, but how much of an edge can they gain on the Russians, who were right behind them at the 2019 Worlds? And behind those two nations, the bronze looks to be up for grabs among six other countries. Australia, Hungary and Brazil have all reached the podium since the U.S. won in Rio, but who will lock up the bronze in Tokyo? Our pick is Italy, which is led by Alessandro Miressi<\/strong> (47.45) and Thomas Ceccon<\/strong> (48.14) with several others in the mid-48 range.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gold:<\/strong> United States
\nSilver:<\/strong> Russia
\nBronze:<\/strong> Italy<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tokyo Olympic Predictions: In Day Two, Adam Peaty is Slam-Dunk Choice in 100 Breaststroke Now that the Tokyo Olympics are here, it\u2019s time to see who might win medals 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