﻿{"id":454787,"date":"2020-11-19T13:59:37","date_gmt":"2020-11-19T20:59:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=454787"},"modified":"2020-11-19T13:59:37","modified_gmt":"2020-11-19T20:59:37","slug":"assessing-caeleb-dressels-world-record-chances-in-the-isl-grand-final","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/assessing-caeleb-dressels-world-record-chances-in-the-isl-grand-final\/","title":{"rendered":"Assessing Caeleb Dressel\u2019s World Record Chances in the ISL Grand Final"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Caeleb Dressel<\/strong> just keeps getting faster. That\u2019s not a folksy, gee-whiz, qualitative observation. Instead, it\u2019s backed by the times: Almost unfailingly in this second International Swimming League season, Dressel has gotten faster every meet. As you\u2019ll see below, in the five events he\u2019s swum in all five of his ISL matches, he\u2019s dropped time match-by-match in three of them, like clockwork.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s also certain is that in every one of his events, Dressel was fastest the last time he swam, leading the Cali Condors to their fifth consecutive win. And when Dressel hits best times, records fall, because he\u2019s Caeleb Dressel.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/flash-caeleb-dressel-sets-world-record-first-under-50-seconds-in-100-im\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">His performance in ISL Semifinal 2<\/a> led to three American records and one world record, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/isl-semifinal-2-notes-an-ode-to-caeleb-dressel-as-identical-grand-final-looms\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the stirring performance in the 100 individual medley<\/a> in which he became the first man to break the 50-second barrier.<\/p>\n<p>So what can he do in the <a href=\"https:\/\/isl.global\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Grand Final this year<\/a>? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/caeleb-dressel-breaks-first-short-course-meters-world-record-of-career-in-50-free-at-isl-vegas-final-race-video\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">In last year\u2019s event in Las Vegas<\/a>, Dressel set three American records and a world record. Can he top that in the Budapest bubble?<\/p>\n<p>Event by event, here\u2019s what Dressel is looking at in terms of chasing history. <em>(Unless otherwise noted, the progression for Dressel\u2019s times this season is Match 1, Match 4, Match 8, Match 10, Semifinal 2)<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/world-swimming-records-short-course-meters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Short-Course World Records<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/american-swimming-records-short-course-meters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Short-Course American Records<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>100 butterfly<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>World record<\/strong>: 48.08, Chad le Clos, 2016<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dressel this season<\/strong>: 49.62, 49.35, 49.33, 49.02, 48.92<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This will be Dressel\u2019s first swim of the match, and it may be the toughest record to take down. The field will be going for it, no doubt: <strong>Chad le Clos<\/strong> will be in the water for Energy Standard, as will LA Current\u2019s <strong>Tom Shields.<\/strong> In all, the top five times in ISL (<strong>Marius Kusch<\/strong> of London, <strong>Marcin Cieslak<\/strong> of Cali) will be represented.<\/p>\n<p>Dressel has been the fastest of the bunch at 48.92, just .02 ahead of Shields and the ISL record (it had been 49.10 by Dressel last year). The American record of 48.63 that Shields has owned since the 2015 Duel in the Pool is in play. The American records in the 50 and 200 both fell <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/isl-semi-final-2-dressel-narrowly-misses-world-record-condors-lead-current-after-day-one\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">in ISL semifinal 2<\/a>, and Shields is back to swimming personal bests. With fewer races to focus on, Shields may be able to empty the tank more. For either of them to drop the nine-tenths to get to le Clos\u2019s record, though, is a huge ask.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Verdict<\/strong>: Doubtful.<\/p>\n<h4>50 freestyle<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>World record<\/strong>: 20.24, Caeleb Dressel, 2019 ISL Final in Las Vegas<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dressel<\/strong> <strong>this season<\/strong>: 20.85, 20.69, 20.65, 20.52, 20.28<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Dressel has been quicker this year than last, so it would stand to reason that this one could be in doubt. It could be a messy final, with Dressel, Energy Standard\u2019s <strong>Florent Manaudou<\/strong> (best 2020 time: 20.55) and LA\u2019s <strong>Kristian Gkolomeev<\/strong> (20.80) in the race. But Dressel excels in such fields because of his ability to get out front and stay out of other swimmer\u2019s wash. To execute a world record in any 50-meter event requires flawless execution, so nothing is guaranteed. But this record is in serious jeopardy, with Dressel already having buzzed within .04 of it.<\/p>\n<p>And, we\u2019ll ask the question, can Dressel be the first man under 20 seconds? It\u2019s an actual conversation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Verdict<\/strong>: Probable (on the record; we\u2019ll leave it as questionable on cracking 20.)<\/p>\n<h4>50 breaststroke<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>World record<\/strong>: 25.25, Cameron van der Burgh, 2009<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dressel this season<\/strong>: 26.31 in Match 4, 26.15 in Match 8 (also went 26.29-26.52-26.20 in Match 4 skins and 26.08-26.52 in Match 8 skins)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"attachment_451067\" style=\"width: 410px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-451067\" data-attachment-id=\"451067\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/assessing-caeleb-dressels-world-record-chances-in-the-isl-grand-final\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-scaled.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"2560,1706\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;2.8&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;ILCE-9M2&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1603816899&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;400&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;3200&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.0003125&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;11-19-20&lt;br \/&gt;\ncaeleb-dressel-condors-breasst&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Caeleb Dressel; Photo Courtesy: Mine Kasapoglu \/ ISL&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-700x500.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-1024x683.jpg\" class=\"wp-image-451067\" src=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst\" width=\"400\" height=\"267\" srcset=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-280x187.jpg 280w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-450x300.jpg 450w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-1200x800.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-1350x900.jpg 1350w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-500x333.jpg 500w, https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/caeleb-dressel-condors-breasst-533x355.jpg 533w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-451067\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Caeleb Dressel; Photo Courtesy: Mine Kasapoglu \/ ISL<\/p><\/div>\n<p>This is the only event that isn&#8217;t a given for Dressel to take part in. He didn\u2019t swim it in Match 1, Match 10 or the semi. It seems he\u2019ll only swim it if it\u2019s likely to be the skins choice. The race comes on Day 1, less than 20 minutes after the 50 free that he certainly won\u2019t miss, and it would mean three big races in the first 65 minutes of racing.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s also an event where Dressel is a mere mortal, with the 10th-fastest time in ISL this season at 26.08 and sixth-fastest among the finalists. But he\u2019s Cali\u2019s best swimmer by some distance, next being <strong>Nic Fink,<\/strong> who is rounding into form but has still only been 26.61, 16th-best this season.<\/p>\n<p>The record chase will be on. Van der Burgh\u2019s 100 breast record <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/flash-adam-peaty-blasts-100-breaststroke-short-course-world-record-in-isl-semifinals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">went down in the semifinals<\/a>, and <strong>Adam<\/strong> <strong>Peaty<\/strong> would love to add the 50. The record survived <strong>Emre Sakci\u2019s<\/strong> best shot by .04 seconds. Peaty has been 25.48, and <strong>Ilya Shymanovich<\/strong> of Energy Standard is in with a shout at 25.55. But Dressel is unlikely to be part of it, though you wouldn\u2019t bet against him figuring out a way to at least make the final if breaststroke is the skins choice.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Verdict<\/strong>: Very unlikely.<\/p>\n<h4>100 free<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>World record<\/strong>: 44.94, Amaury Leveaux, 2008<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dressel this season:<\/strong> 45.87, 46.42, 46.12, 45.56, 45.20<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This may be the most sought after, among only two men\u2019s world record hanging on from the super-suit era. Dressel owns the ISL record and was 45.22 in the finals last year. The next quickest time this season is 45.86 from <strong>Maxime Rooney,<\/strong> with Manaudou fourth in 45.92. (Second-fastest <strong>Zach Apple,<\/strong> who beat Dressel head-to-head with the DC Trident, isn\u2019t in the final.) Manaudou would love to replace his fellow Frenchman in the spot, but the 30-year-old hasn&#8217;t shown that turn of speed this season.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s the first event of Day 2, so Dressel won\u2019t have to worry about prepping. Depending on the skins (more on that momentarily), Dressel could lead off the mixed freestyle relay and get a second shot at this, though that swim is a quick turnaround from the 50 fly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Verdict<\/strong>: Possible.<\/p>\n<h4>50 butterfly<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>World record<\/strong>: 21.75, Nicholas Santos, 2018<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dressel this season<\/strong>: 22.46, 22.64, 22.41, 22.06, 22.04<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Believe it or not, the Cali Condors haven\u2019t won a men\u2019s medley relay this season. LA Current has gone 5-for-5. Energy Standard won three in the regular season. London won twice, then upended Energy in the first semifinal.<\/p>\n<p>What that means is we haven\u2019t seen Dressel in butterfly skins, because no one in their right mind is inviting Dressel to swim more. (For the neutrals, a 50 fly pitting le Clos, Shields and Dressel is the most tantalizing prospect from the Grand Final, so it probably won\u2019t happen.)<\/p>\n<p>If the Roar win the men&#8217;s medley relay, they\u2019re going to play the Peaty card in breaststroke. The Current will go with backstroke because of <strong>Ryan Murphy.<\/strong> Energy Standard, with le Clos and Manaudou, have a chance to play to their chasers\u2019 weaknesses.<\/p>\n<p>All that is to say that Dressel probably gets one shot at this record. As <strong>Nicholas Santos<\/strong> showed in the second semifinal, it takes everything going right to get a record, forced to settle for 21.80. The record also survived a buzz by <strong>Szebasztian Szabo<\/strong> in Aqua Centurions\u2019 last meet. Dressel has only (\u201conly\u201d) the third-fastest time this year. He was 22.06 in setting the ISL record last year. To reclaim it, a world record is likely needed. Dressel&#8217;s AR is certainly in play, but three tenths for a world mark is a lot to do over 50 meters.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Verdict:<\/strong> Possible but unlikely.<\/p>\n<h4>100 individual medley<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>World record<\/strong>: 49.88, Caeleb Dressel, Nov. 16 (ISL Semifinal 2)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dressel this season<\/strong>: 51.36, 51.27, 51.11, 50.48, 49.88<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This one feels pretty simple. Caeleb Dressel has gotten faster each meet. He set a world record last meet. Therefore, if he goes faster again, he\u2019ll set another record. Boom done. Right?<\/p>\n<p>Maybe not. The Condors will be chasing a team title, and Dressel will be all in on that. So discretion might be the better part of valor.<\/p>\n<p>In the Condor&#8217;s semifinal, Dressel swam the 100 free at 18:06 local time. The IM was 29 minutes later, then 23 minutes to the 50 fly, then 14 minutes to the mixed free relay. Had he participated in skins, he would have about 30 minutes to prep.<\/p>\n<p>If the Current pick backstroke skins, you could see Dressel for the first time, if a title hangs in the balance, the only stroke where his participation is even a question. So if Dressel is a body-length ahead at the 75-meter wall in the IM, knowing he already has the win and jackpot points plus the world record in hand from last meet, does he maybe save a little gas in the tank? It\u2019s not that he can\u2019t recapture that form again, just that there might not be a need to.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Verdict<\/strong>: Possible.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Caeleb Dressel just keeps getting faster. That\u2019s not a folksy, gee-whiz, qualitative observation. Instead, it\u2019s backed by the times: Almost unfailingly in this second International Swimming League season, Dressel has<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8367,"featured_media":454236,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,122077,7],"tags":[26806,42946,52005,35724,88822,25277,25134,125994,72128,35046,62039,71150,72224,126382,126362,126108,26999,91042,80716,26882,36235,36898,33982,22112,25424,29285,60856],"class_list":["post-454787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-americas","category-usa","tag-adam-peaty","tag-amaury-leveaux","tag-american-record","tag-caeleb-dressel","tag-cali-condors","tag-cameron-van-der-burgh","tag-chad-le-clos","tag-emre-sakci","tag-energy-standard","tag-florent-manaudou","tag-ilya-shymanovich","tag-international-swimming-league","tag-isl","tag-isl-grand-final","tag-isl-grand-final-2020","tag-isl-season-2","tag-kristian-gkolomeev","tag-la-current","tag-london-roar","tag-marcin-cieslak","tag-marius-kusch","tag-maxime-rooney","tag-nic-fink","tag-nicholas-santos","tag-tom-shields","tag-world-record","tag-zach-apple"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Assessing Caeleb Dressel\u2019s World Record Chances in the ISL Grand Final<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Caeleb Dressel just keeps getting faster. That\u2019s not a folksy, gee-whiz, qualitative observation. Instead, it\u2019s backed by the times.\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/assessing-caeleb-dressels-world-record-chances-in-the-isl-grand-final\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Assessing Caeleb Dressel\u2019s World Record Chances in the ISL Grand Final\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Caeleb Dressel just keeps getting faster. That\u2019s not a folksy, gee-whiz, qualitative observation. 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