{"id":262162,"date":"2017-06-25T05:45:57","date_gmt":"2017-06-25T12:45:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=262162"},"modified":"2017-06-24T17:34:15","modified_gmt":"2017-06-25T00:34:15","slug":"the-current-state-of-usa-swimming-mens-team","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/the-current-state-of-usa-swimming-mens-team\/","title":{"rendered":"The Current State of USA Swimming’s Men’s Team"},"content":{"rendered":"

Morning Splash<\/a><\/strong> by David Rieder.<\/em><\/p>\n

Just like the\u00a0American women\u2019s team<\/a>, the U.S. men did well for themselves in Rio last summer. Like the women, the men won half of the gold medals handed out at the pool, and they swept gold in all three relays.<\/p>\n

And then Michael Phelps<\/strong> retired. Filling the void of the greatest of all time is rather challenging, especially when the second most versatile swimmer in history (Ryan Lochte<\/strong>) will also be missing a U.S. selection meet for the first time in a decade and a half.<\/p>\n

But last year\u2019s core of swimmers in sprint free, backstroke and breaststroke all returns intact, so USA Swimming has plenty to build on as the (second) post-Phelps era begins in earnest at this week\u2019s Nationals in Indianapolis.<\/p>\n

Sprint Free: Oozing With Potential<\/strong><\/h3>\n

For almost a decade, questions have persisted about the quality of the American sprint core. Nathan Adrian<\/strong> has been incredibly consistent throughout that span, but putting together a 400 free relay has long been a daunting task, and the Americans failed to top a major podium between the 2009 World Championships and the 2016 Olympics.<\/p>\n

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Photo Courtesy: Stan Szeto\/USA Today Sports<\/p><\/div>\n

But after last summer\u2019s resounding relay victory in Rio, the Americans look stronger in the sprints than they have in years. Adrian and Caeleb Dressel<\/strong> look like the favorites to claim individual spots in the 100 free\u2014and contend for medals in Budapest\u2014while Ryan Held<\/strong>, Blake Pieroni<\/strong> and Michael Chadwick<\/strong> look to fill out this young, talented squad.<\/p>\n

Elsewhere in the world, France didn\u2019t qualify a 400 free relay squad for the World Championships, and Australia will be without 100 free Olympic champion Kyle Chalmers<\/strong>. Let\u2019s wait on all the results from this week in Indy, but hard to see the Americans as anything but gold medal favorites.<\/p>\n

More of the same in the 50 free, where Dressel and Cullen Jones<\/strong> will attempt to knock off Adrian, who won the Olympic bronze medal in the 50 free in Rio, and gold medalist Anthony Ervin<\/strong>. Again, two individual medal contenders for Budapest.<\/p>\n

Mid-Distance Free: Talented But Unproven<\/strong><\/h3>\n

The American sprint talent means that Phelps won\u2019t be missed so much on the 400 free relay. Maybe not the case on the 800 free, not with 13-year relay veteran Lochte suspended and veteran Conor<\/strong> Dwyer<\/strong> only recently returning to racing post-Rio.<\/p>\n

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Photo Courtesy: Andy Ringgold \/ Aringo Photos<\/p><\/div>\n

200 free Olympic finalist\u00a0Townley Haas\u00a0<\/strong>is still around, but with at least two new swimmers on the 800 free relay this year, winning gold could be a challenge for Team USA. Can Pieroni come up from the 100? How about Clark Smith<\/strong> and Zane Grothe<\/strong> coming down from the 400? What do guys like Jack Conger<\/strong>, Gunnar<\/strong> Bentz<\/strong>, Maxime Rooney<\/strong> and Jay Litherland<\/strong> have in the tank?<\/p>\n

So yeah, some question marks here. As for the 400 free, Connor Jaeger<\/strong> is retired, and Dwyer looks unlikely to swim that event, but two of the Haas\/Smith\/Grothe trio should give the Americans a pair of swimmers capable of qualifying for finals in Budapest.<\/p>\n

Distance Free: Paging\u2026 Someone<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Jaeger is done, and Jordan Wilimovsky<\/strong> won\u2019t swim at Nationals after finishing fourth in the 1500 free in Rio<\/a>. So nobody in entered in that event has ever come close to breaking 15:00.<\/p>\n

There are options here\u2014in predicting the meet, we went with True Sweetser<\/strong> and Robert Finke<\/strong>, with one of them breaking 15:00, in our bold predictions\u2014but it\u2019s going to take a lot for the Americans to pick up a finalist in the mile come Budapest.<\/p>\n

Smith, the NCAA champion in the 500 free and 1650 free, won\u2019t swim the mile at Nationals, but he and perhaps Grothe will provide two solid options in the 800 free.<\/p>\n

Backstroke: Murph Territory<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ryan Murphy<\/strong> is the best backstroker in the world\u2014the gold medalist in both the 100 and 200 and the world record-holder in the 100. Matt<\/strong> Grevers<\/strong>, the 2012 gold medalist in the 100 back, is still around, and Jacob Pebley<\/strong> continues to improve in both the 100 and the 200 after finishing fifth in Rio last year in the 200.\u00a0Justin Ress<\/strong> and John Shebat<\/strong> are both young and quickly improving<\/p>\n

Yeah, USA Swimming has nothing to worry about here.<\/p>\n

Breaststroke: Deep<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Josh Prenot<\/strong> was the Olympic silver medalist in the 200 breast, and Cody Miller<\/strong> picked up a bronze in the 100 breast. Kevin Cordes<\/strong> was in both Olympic breaststroke finals.<\/p>\n

Will Licon<\/strong> is hungry after finishing just 0.14 off the Olympic team in the 200 breast. Andrew Wilson\u00a0<\/strong>and\u00a0Michael Andrew<\/strong>\u00a0weren\u2019t that far off in the 100 breast, and Nic Fink<\/strong> has returned to form after swimming on World Championship teams in 2013 and 2015.\u00a0Reece Whitley\u2019s<\/strong> time in that event will come. Again, Team USA will be just fine right here.<\/p>\n

Butterfly: Very Unproven<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Okay, now it gets interesting. The Americans could end up sending some medal contenders to Worlds in the men\u2019s butterflys\u2014that\u2019s not out of the question\u2014but there\u2019s much to prove at Nationals before that happens.<\/p>\n

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Photo Courtesy: Brooke Wright<\/p><\/div>\n

Tom Shields<\/strong> finished fourth at the 2015 World Championships in the 100 fly and then made the Olympic final in Rio, and he certainly has sub-51 potential. Conger, Tim<\/strong> Phillips<\/strong>, Matt Josa<\/strong> and Seth Stubblefield<\/strong> all narrowly missed the Olympic team here, while Dressel showed off what he can do in butterfly when he took down Olympic gold medalist Joseph Schooling<\/strong> in the 100-yard fly at the NCAA championships.<\/p>\n

And even if the 100-meter fly is a bit too long for Dressel, watching him swim the 50 fly should be a treat.<\/p>\n

As for the 200 fly, Conger has been in the 1:54-range in the past, and he blasted an incredible 1:37.35 to win his first NCAA title in the 200 fly this year. Chase\u00a0Kalisz<\/strong> has been as fast as 1:55.82 in the 200 fly already this year, and Shields joined Phelps on the Olympic team in the four-lap event as well.<\/p>\n

So no, not out of the question for some medal contenders to emerge from this bunch.<\/p>\n

IM: Kalisz Rising<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Kalisz might have already made the Worlds team in the 200 fly by the time the IMs roll around, but these are the events where he should shine.<\/p>\n

Before Saturday, he had been the only man in the world to break 4:10 this year in the 400 IM (before David Verraszto <\/strong>and\u00a0Daiya Seto\u00a0<\/strong>both swam 4:07s at the Sette Colli meet<\/a>), and Kalisz should be a legitimate gold medal threat in that event come Budapest. Litherland will also be in position to chase after a medal at Worlds, provided he can handle whatever challenges Prenot, Bentz and Abrahm DeVine<\/strong> can throw his way at Nationals.<\/p>\n

The 200 IM final will look different this year compared to last year\u2019s Trials final, mostly because the presence of Phelps and Lochte compelled Kalisz, Prenot and Licon to all scratch. But 1:56\u2014perhaps even a 1:55\u2014doesn\u2019t seem that unreasonable from that bunch this time around.<\/p>\n

This is the scene on the men\u2019s side going into Nationals, but how will that meet shake out when all is said and done? Check out five days\u2019 worth of bold predictions for the meet.<\/p>\n