{"id":207645,"date":"2016-06-15T09:00:30","date_gmt":"2016-06-15T16:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=207645"},"modified":"2016-06-16T08:04:24","modified_gmt":"2016-06-16T15:04:24","slug":"3-bold-predictions-for-u-s-olympic-trials-day-two","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/3-bold-predictions-for-u-s-olympic-trials-day-two\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Bold Predictions for U.S. Olympic Trials: Day Two"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>By David Rieder<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Most likely, something crazy will have happened on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/3-bold-predictions-for-u-s-olympic-trials-day-one\/\">night one<\/a>\u00a0of Olympic Trials. Could have been a World or American record. Someone (<strong>Ryan Lochte<\/strong>) might have qualified for his fourth Olympic team or someone else (<strong>Elizabeth Beisel<\/strong>) her third. Or maybe the fireworks alongside the pool just got your adrenaline up a little bit.<\/p>\n<p>Well, not to worry, sports fans. There will be plenty of exciting races on night two*, with finals scheduled in the women\u2019s 100 fly, men\u2019s 100 breast and women\u2019s 400 free.<\/p>\n<p>*Yes, I realize there are also six more days after that, but let\u2019s focus on day two here.<\/p>\n<p>Here are my three <strong>bold<\/strong> predictions for day two.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. No one will come close to Sarah Sjostrom territory in the 100 fly.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Defending Olympic gold medalist <strong>Dana Vollmer<\/strong> is just a year into her comeback after giving birth to a son, Arlen, and already she looked like one of the favorites to make the Olympic Team in the event, having swum a 56.94 in April. The other favorite is <strong>Kelsi Worrell<\/strong>, the Pan American champion and the fastest 100 flyer ever short course.<\/p>\n<p>So it\u2019s perfectly reasonable to assume both have potential to crack some strong times in Omaha, and both could surpass the No. 2 time in the world so far this year, <strong>Xinyi Chen\u2019s<\/strong> 56.82.<\/p>\n<p>But Sjostrom has been 55.68 already this year, just off her world record of 55.64. That mark, of course, was set in last summer\u2019s World Championships final where Sjostrom was victorious by a mere 1.41 seconds.<\/p>\n<p>Vollmer, of course, was the previous owner of the world record, but even getting down to her own best time of 55.98\u2014which would be an incredible swim\u2014would not threaten Sjostrom in the least. The Swede should be one of the safer picks for Olympic gold, and nothing that happens at Olympic Trials will change that.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Kevin Cordes and Nic Fink will finish among the top-four in the 100 breast.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This one seems pretty reasonable, no? After all, Fink has swum the event at each of the past two World Championships, and Cordes has become a staple on the American 400 medley relay teams. Yes, these two have very good shots at going to Rio in the 100 breast.<\/p>\n<p>So how is this a <strong>bold<\/strong> prediction? Because I made it four years ago.<\/p>\n<p>A <em>Swimming World<\/em> writer recent perused our Trials coverage from 2012 and found this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/u-s-olympic-trials-the-junior-olympic-team-halfway-point\/\">article<\/a> written by none other than yours truly in which I named the swimmers who had college eligibility remaining that placed highest at Trials. On the men\u2019s side, the only members of our \u201cJunior Olympic Team\u201d who made the actual Olympic team were <strong>Andrew Gemmell<\/strong> and <strong>Connor Jaeger<\/strong>, both in the 1500 free.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of predicting the 2016 team, this did not work out quite so nicely in certain other events\u2014for instance, neither of the selections for the women\u2019s 100 fly are still competing. And maybe I won\u2019t even pick them to make the Olympic team (hint: keep reading to see my top-two picks). But in a sport where few manage to consistently improve year after year, it is cool to see two men really do just that over the past four years.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Chaos will ensue in the semifinals of the men\u2019s 200 free.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Admit it, you probably thought I was going to say something here about how <strong>Katie Ledecky<\/strong> would win the women\u2019s 400 free and <strong>Leah Smith<\/strong> would get second. But check the current world rankings\u2014Ledecky ranks No. 1 in the world this year and Smith No. 2. Picking Ledecky to challenge her world record? She always does that.<\/p>\n<p>So instead, we\u2019re talking about one of the day\u2019s semifinals, the men\u2019s 200 free. And oh boy, it\u2019ll be good. The Americans lost that relay at last summer\u2019s World Championships to end an 11-year undefeated streak, and they will be counting on a resurgent <strong>Conor Dwyer<\/strong> to lead them back to the top of the podium in Rio, likely with help from <strong>Ryan Lochte<\/strong> and <strong>Michael Phelps<\/strong>, who both\u00a0have been part of three straight American gold medal-winning 800 free relays at the Olympics.<\/p>\n<p>Phelps talked of skipping the event at Trials, but he still needs to prove he belongs on the 800 free relay in Rio with his best time on the year a 1:48.21 from the Arena Pro Swim Series meet in Mesa, Ariz., in April.\u00a0And the top 12 entrants into the event\u2014a list that does not include Phelps\u2014are all seeded under 1:48.<\/p>\n<p>The real battle will be not making top six in the final\u2014just got to beat two people\u2014but getting top eight in the semis. Someone prominent\u2014likely more than one someone\u2014will not make the final. Could it be NCAA champion <strong>Townley<\/strong> <strong>Haas<\/strong> or defending national champion <strong>Maxime<\/strong> <strong>Rooney<\/strong> or a member of that silver medal-winning team from Kazan, <strong>Reed<\/strong> <strong>Malone<\/strong> or <strong>Michael<\/strong> <strong>Weiss<\/strong>? Could somebody like <strong>Connor Jaeger<\/strong> or <strong>Jay Litherland<\/strong> or even <strong>Tyler Clary<\/strong> steal a spot?<\/p>\n<p>In 2008, <strong>Erik Vendt<\/strong>\u2014more typically a distance swimmer\u2014broke 1:47 for the first time to get into the 200 free final, and then all he had to do was beat two people\u2014which he did. Four years later, 800 free relay stalwart <strong>Peter Vanderkaay<\/strong> finished ninth in the 200, three one-hundredths behind <strong>Michael Klueh<\/strong>, his chances for a top-six finish washed away. At the end of the night, there will be one really happy eighth-place finisher and one devastated ninth-place man.<\/p>\n<h3>Race Picks:<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Women\u2019s 100 Fly:<\/strong><br \/>\n1. Dana Vollmer<br \/>\n2. Kelsi Worrell<\/p>\n<p><strong>Men\u2019s 100 Breast:<\/strong><br \/>\n1. Kevin Cordes<br \/>\n2. Cody Miller<\/p>\n<p><strong>Women\u2019s 400 Free:<\/strong><br \/>\n1. Katie Ledecky<br \/>\n2. Leah Smith<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By David Rieder Most likely, something crazy will have happened on night one\u00a0of Olympic Trials. Could have been a World or American record. Someone (Ryan Lochte) might have qualified for<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":195540,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,17,7],"tags":[56855,26910,25629,24850,8581,26168,1847,37335,25031,25903,25176,25513,25273,6302,15632,33982,20046,28401,19138,32196,25035],"class_list":["post-207645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-commentary","category-usa","tag-2016-us-olympic-swimming-trials","tag-andrew-gemmell","tag-connor-jaeger","tag-conor-dwyer","tag-dana-vollmer","tag-elizabeth-beisel","tag-erik-vendt","tag-jay-litherland","tag-katie-ledecky","tag-kelsi-worrell","tag-kevin-cordes","tag-leah-smith","tag-michael-klueh","tag-michael-phelps","tag-michael-weiss","tag-nic-fink","tag-peter-vanderkaay","tag-reed-malone","tag-ryan-lochte","tag-sarah-sjostrom","tag-tyler-clary"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - 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