{"id":190336,"date":"2016-03-15T10:00:21","date_gmt":"2016-03-15T17:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=190336"},"modified":"2016-03-14T10:51:03","modified_gmt":"2016-03-14T17:51:03","slug":"6-races-that-will-decide-womens-ncaa-championship-saturday-night","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/6-races-that-will-decide-womens-ncaa-championship-saturday-night\/","title":{"rendered":"6 Races that Will Decide the Women&#8217;s NCAA Championship Saturday Night"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If you&#8217;re reading this post, congratulations. You&#8217;ve made it through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/womens-ncaa-championships-predictions\/\">two days<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/womens-ncaa-championships-predictions-part-two\/\">bad predictions<\/a> I&#8217;m sure will end up completely wrong. But I may as well finish this off. The final evening of the women&#8217;s NCAA championship meets will feature five individual finals and the 400 free relay to wrap things up. And do not be surprised if when that relay goes into the water if the team title is still up for grabs.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and who is going to win that team title? You&#8217;ll just have to read through this entire article to find out.<\/p>\n<h3>1650 free<\/h3>\n<p><b>First: Leah Smith, Virginia<br \/>\nSecond: Brittany MacLean, Georgia<br \/>\nThird: Hannah Moore, NC State<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Smith took down MacLean\u2019s NCAA record in the event at the ACC championships last month, and she should continue her quest towards <b>Katie Ledecky<\/b>-only territory. MacLean has returned from injury this season and should be in the mix as it\u2019s unlikely anyone else in this field can get under the 15:40 barrier. Ohio State\u2019s <b>Lindsey Clary<\/b>, Florida\u2019s <b>Jess Thielmann<\/b> and Michigan\u2019s <b>Gillian Ryan<\/b> all figure to be in the race for third, and also watch out for Indiana\u2019s <b>Haley Lips<\/b> and Wisconsin\u2019s <b>Danielle Valley<\/b> to set tough times to beat out of the afternoon heats.<\/p>\n<h3>200 back<\/h3>\n<p><b>First: Courtney Bartholomew, Virginia<br \/>\nSecond: Kathleen Baker, Cal<br \/>\nThird: Danielle Galyer, Kentucky<\/b><\/p>\n<p>As good as Bartholomew has been in the backstroke events \u2013 she was the runner-up in this race <b>Missy Franklin<\/b> last season \u2013 the X-factor is Cal senior <b>Elizabeth Pelton<\/b>. She enters seeded 11th in this event at 1:52.12, but she has the fastest best time in the field; in fact, her lifetime best time of 1:47.84 remains the American record. She has the potential to win this event as she did her freshman year if she can return to her top form \u2013 or she could miss the final entirely. Like the 100 back, this event has some seriously improved speed this season, with <b>Amy Bilquist<\/b>, <b>Janet Hu<\/b>, <b>Lisa Bratton<\/b>, <b>Tasija Karosas<\/b> and <b>Kylie Stewart<\/b> are among the other contenders.<\/p>\n<h3>100 free<\/h3>\n<p><b>First: Lia Neal, Stanford<br \/>\nSecond: Farida Osman, Cal<br \/>\nThird: Natalie Hinds, Florida<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Plenty of fast sprinters in this field, but I see this one staying straight chalk off the psych sheet. Neal\u2019s teammate <b>Simone Manuel<\/b> won a season ago but misses this meet on an Olympic redshirt, as does Georgia\u2019s <b>Chantal Van Landeghem<\/b>. Osman had a breakout performance at Pac-12s last month, but her stronger chances at an individual championship will come earlier in the weekend in the 50 free and 100 fly. Texas A&amp;M\u2019s <b>Beryl Gastadello<\/b> and Tennessee\u2019s <b>Kira Toussaint<\/b> should be factors, and watch as well for Louisville\u2019s <b>Mallory Comerford<\/b>, whose ACC championship performance in the 200 free suggests she has more in the tank in the 100 than her 17th-seeded 48.31.<\/p>\n<h3>200 breast<\/h3>\n<p><b>First: Lilly King, Indiana<br \/>\nSecond: Laura Simon, Virginia<br \/>\nThird: Madisyn Cox, Texas<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Five of the eight finalists from last year will not return, including defending champion <b>Kierra Smith<\/b>, who is taking an Olympic redshirt. Indiana freshmen King and <b>Miranda Tucker<\/b> bring some serious fresh speed to this field, and UMBC\u2019s <b>Emily Escobedo<\/b> has dropped 2.5 seconds since last season and enters seeded second. Simon and Cox \u2013 who figures to earn multiple top three finishes on the weekend \u2013 will have a multitude of challengers for podium spots: <b>Andrea Cottrell<\/b>, <b>Weronika Paluszek<\/b>, <b>Bethany Galat<\/b>, <b>Sarah Haase<\/b>, <b>Abby Duncan<\/b> and others.<\/p>\n<h3>200 fly<\/h3>\n<p><b>First: Kelsi Worrell, Louisville<br \/>\nSecond: Ella Eastin, Stanford<br \/>\nThird: Hali Flickinger, Georgia<\/b><\/p>\n<p>This one looks like a showdown between the meet\u2019s top senior (Worrell) and the top freshman (Eastin). Those two are the only swimmers who have been under 1:52 this season. Worrell won this race last season in 1:51.11, and she has an outside shot of challenging <b>Elaine Breeden\u2019s<\/b> American record of 1:49.92. Georgia will need big points from Flickinger and <b>Megan Kingsley<\/b> if they hope to have a shot at the team title on the last day, and Cal should expect the same from <b>Naomie Thomas<\/b> and <b>Kelly Naze<\/b>.<\/p>\n<h3>400 free relay<\/h3>\n<p><b>First: Stanford<br \/>\nSecond: California<br \/>\nThird: North Carolina State<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Even without <b>Simone Manuel<\/b>, the Cardinal enters as the top seed with <b>Janet Hu<\/b>, <b>Ally Howe<\/b>, <b>Ella Eastin<\/b> and <b>Lia Neal<\/b> having recorded a 3:11.42 at the Pac-12 championships. This one should be really competitive, though, with NC State, Cal, USC and possibly Tennessee and Georgia all in the mix. <b>Farida Osman<\/b> and <b>Amy Bilquist<\/b> will be critical for the Bears, and <b>Rike Bonnema<\/b> needs to post a big split to get the Wolfpack into the top three. The performances of <b>Anika Apostolon<\/b> and <b>Kirsten Vose<\/b> at Pac-12s put the Trojans into the conversation, and the Lady Vols have <b>Kira Toussaint<\/b> in support of senior <b>Faith Johnson<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>And if the pre-meet scoring projections are correct, the team race will not be decided until this relay is in the water. Unlike last year, where the <b>Missy Franklin<\/b>-led Cal squad was heavily favored to earn a team championship, this team title race could include four different teams. Scoring out the psych sheet results in a Cal victory with Stanford \u2013 who defeated the Bears both in the dual meet and conference championship action \u2013 just 24 points behind.<\/p>\n<p>Expect the Georgia Bulldogs to make a run, as they almost always do, as they compete just an hour away from Athens. Georgia has finished in the top two each of the past five seasons. Virginia hopes to take advantage of one last meet with both <b>Courtney Bartholomew<\/b> and <b>Leah Smith<\/b>, Texas A&amp;M could keep moving up despite the losses of <b>Cammile Adams<\/b> and <b>Sarah Henry<\/b> in consecutive years and USC was the surprise winner of the Pac-12 championship.<\/p>\n<p>In this month\u2019s issue of <i>Swimming World Magazine<\/i>, I predicted Georgia to win the national championship. But that article was due in January, long before anyone had the luxury of conference championship results or psych sheets. So I hope all of you will forgive me for taking a stab at a revised top-ten. And here it is.<\/p>\n<p>Can a team really lose their top swimmer and their top diver to Olympic redshirts and still win a national championship? That\u2019s the challenge Stanford faces with both <b>Simone Manuel<\/b> and <b>Kassidy Cook<\/b> on the sidelines. But the Cardinal always swim at a high level at the NCAA Championships, and I think they depart Atlanta with their first team title since 1988.<\/p>\n<h3>Predictions for Top Ten Teams<\/h3>\n<p>1. Stanford<br \/>\n2. California<br \/>\n3. Georgia<br \/>\n4. Virginia<br \/>\n5. Texas A&amp;M<br \/>\n6. Southern California<br \/>\n7. Louisville<br \/>\n8. Tennessee<br \/>\n9. Texas<br \/>\n10. North Carolina State<\/p>\n<p><i>Special thanks to Price Fishback for contributing psych sheet analysis.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you&#8217;re reading this post, congratulations. You&#8217;ve made it through two days of bad predictions I&#8217;m sure will end up completely wrong. But I may as well finish this off.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":103681,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,6,17],"tags":[56783,31781,36913,28929,25910,57201,40167,29036,26903,27841,27877,25522,41562,26188,33015,26654,34417,26901,27864,57207,24703,26125,26466,48606,45361,25418,27863,25903,28466,29730,37539,32648,25511,25513,26700,26040,33978,33448,25844,34165,25136,57206,26187,27652,26016,25400,44571],"class_list":["post-190336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-college","category-commentary","tag-2016-ncaa-division-i-womens-championships","tag-abby-duncan","tag-ally-howe","tag-amy-bilquist","tag-andrea-cottrell","tag-anika-apostolon","tag-beryl-gastadello","tag-bethany-galat","tag-brittany-maclean","tag-cammile-adams","tag-chantal-van-landeghem","tag-courtney-bartholomew","tag-danielle-galyer","tag-danielle-valley","tag-elaine-breeden","tag-elizabeth-pelton","tag-ella-eastin","tag-faith-johnson","tag-farida-osman","tag-flickinger","tag-gillian-ryan","tag-haley-lips","tag-janet-hu","tag-jess-thielmann","tag-kassidy-cook","tag-kathleen-baker","tag-kelly-naze","tag-kelsi-worrell","tag-kierra-smith","tag-kira-toussaint","tag-kirsten-vose","tag-kylie-stewart","tag-laura-simon","tag-leah-smith","tag-lia-neal","tag-lindsey-clary","tag-lisa-bratton","tag-mallory-comerford","tag-megan-kingsley","tag-miranda-tucker","tag-missy-franklin","tag-naomie-thomas","tag-natalie-hinds","tag-sarah-haase","tag-sarah-henry","tag-simone-manuel","tag-tasija-karosas"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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