{"id":189982,"date":"2016-03-09T11:53:36","date_gmt":"2016-03-09T18:53:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=189982"},"modified":"2016-03-09T11:53:36","modified_gmt":"2016-03-09T18:53:36","slug":"california-early-favorite-to-win-2016-ncaa-division-i-womens-championships","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/california-early-favorite-to-win-2016-ncaa-division-i-womens-championships\/","title":{"rendered":"California Early Favorite to Win 2016 NCAA Division I Women’s Championships"},"content":{"rendered":"

USA Swimming’s\u00a0Stats Department has been hard at work parsing the numbers for both the men’s and women’s NCAA Division I Championships.<\/p>\n

According to some great information produced by USA Swimming, California looks to be the early favorite when scoring out the psych sheet.<\/p>\n

California is slated to have a close meet into the fourth day before pulling away from Virginia and Stanford down the stretch. \u00a0Stanford is also projected to move ahead of Virginia by the end of the meet with Georgia and Southern California rounding out the top five.<\/p>\n

Of course, these are all based on the psych sheet. \u00a0Lots of movement against seeds will happen at the 2016 NCAA Division I Women’s Championships, but this is some impressive statistical work.<\/p>\n

\"2016-womens-ncaa-projections\"

Photo Courtesy: USA Swimming Stats<\/p><\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

Full Points Projection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nIND PTS<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/td>\nREL PTS<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/td>\nTOT PTS<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/td>\nCalifornia<\/td>\n234<\/td>\n63.2%<\/td>\n136<\/td>\n36.8%<\/td>\n370<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nStanford<\/td>\n202<\/td>\n60.3%<\/td>\n133<\/td>\n39.7%<\/td>\n335<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nVirginia<\/td>\n169<\/td>\n52.6%<\/td>\n152<\/td>\n47.4%<\/td>\n321<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nGeorgia<\/td>\n177<\/td>\n64.4%<\/td>\n98<\/td>\n35.6%<\/td>\n275<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nSouthern Cali<\/td>\n124<\/td>\n50.8%<\/td>\n120<\/td>\n49.2%<\/td>\n244<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nTexas A&M<\/td>\n181.5<\/td>\n74.5%<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n25.5%<\/td>\n243.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nNC State<\/td>\n77.5<\/td>\n36.5%<\/td>\n135<\/td>\n63.5%<\/td>\n212.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nIndiana<\/td>\n118<\/td>\n60.2%<\/td>\n78<\/td>\n39.8%<\/td>\n196<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nLouisville<\/td>\n117<\/td>\n60.0%<\/td>\n78<\/td>\n40.0%<\/td>\n195<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nMichigan<\/td>\n100.5<\/td>\n65.0%<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n35.0%<\/td>\n154.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\nTennessee<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n41.1%<\/td>\n86<\/td>\n58.9%<\/td>\n146<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nTexas<\/td>\n64<\/td>\n48.5%<\/td>\n68<\/td>\n51.5%<\/td>\n132<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nOhio St<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n70.6%<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n29.4%<\/td>\n102<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nMissouri<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n46.1%<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n53.9%<\/td>\n89<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nArizona<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n16.5%<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n83.5%<\/td>\n79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nUNC<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n31.6%<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n68.4%<\/td>\n76<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\nFlorida<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n62.2%<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n37.8%<\/td>\n74<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\nPurdue<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\nUCLA<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n62.5%<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n37.5%<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\nAuburn<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n3.2%<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n96.8%<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\nAlabama<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n54.5%<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n45.5%<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\nBoise St<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\nLSU<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n52.4%<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n47.6%<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\nVirginia Tech<\/td>\n20.5<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n20.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\nKentucky<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n70.0%<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n30.0%<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\nFlorida Gulf<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n17.6%<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n82.4%<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\nUMBC (W)<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\nMinnesota<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n28.6%<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n71.4%<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\nWisconsin<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n42.9%<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n57.1%<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\nCincinnati<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\nAir Force (W)<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\nIowa<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
33<\/td>\nPenn St<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n50.0%<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n50.0%<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
34<\/td>\nSMU<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
35<\/td>\nDenver<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
36<\/td>\nEastern Mich<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
37<\/td>\nOregon St<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n100.0%<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Points By Class For Projected Top 10<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
IND EVENTS<\/td>\nFR<\/td>\n <\/td>\nSO<\/td>\n <\/td>\nJR<\/td>\n <\/td>\nSR<\/td>\n <\/td>\nTotal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/td>\nCalifornia PTS<\/td>\n82<\/td>\n35.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n27<\/td>\n11.5%<\/strong><\/td>\n61<\/td>\n26.1%<\/strong><\/td>\n64<\/td>\n27.4%<\/strong><\/td>\n234<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nCalifornia IND<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n25.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n12.5%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n25.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n37.5%<\/strong><\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nStanford PTS<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n28.2%<\/strong><\/td>\n66<\/td>\n32.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n53<\/td>\n26.2%<\/strong><\/td>\n26<\/td>\n12.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n202<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nStanford IND<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n16.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n50.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n16.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n16.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nVirginia PTS<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.6%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n113<\/td>\n66.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n55<\/td>\n32.5%<\/strong><\/td>\n169<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nVirginia IND<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n16.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n50.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n33.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nGeorgia PTS<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n28.5<\/td>\n16.1%<\/strong><\/td>\n56.5<\/td>\n31.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n92<\/td>\n52.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n177<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nGeorgia IND<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n42.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n28.6%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n28.6%<\/strong><\/td>\n7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nSouthern Cali PTS<\/td>\n71<\/td>\n57.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n40<\/td>\n32.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n13<\/td>\n10.5%<\/strong><\/td>\n124<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nSouthern Cali IND<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n57.1%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n28.6%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n14.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nTexas A&M PTS<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n13.2%<\/strong><\/td>\n118.5<\/td>\n65.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n39<\/td>\n21.5%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n181.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nTexas A&M IND<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n14.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n5<\/td>\n71.4%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n14.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nNC State PTS<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n31<\/td>\n40.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n35.5<\/td>\n45.8%<\/strong><\/td>\n11<\/td>\n14.2%<\/strong><\/td>\n77.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nNC State IND<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n25.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n50.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n25.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nIndiana PTS<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n63.6%<\/strong><\/td>\n5<\/td>\n4.2%<\/strong><\/td>\n7<\/td>\n5.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n31<\/td>\n26.3%<\/strong><\/td>\n118<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nIndiana IND<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n40.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nLouisville PTS<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n27.4%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n28<\/td>\n23.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n55<\/td>\n47.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n117<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nLouisville IND<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n40.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nMichigan PTS<\/td>\n67.5<\/td>\n67.2%<\/strong><\/td>\n24<\/td>\n23.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n9<\/td>\n9.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n100.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\nMichigan IND<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n40.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n40.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Additionally, here’s a look at what it took to get invited to NCAAs in the past nine years.<\/p>\n

\n
\n

A look at the time it took to get invited to the women's NCAA Division I meet over the last nine years. pic.twitter.com\/iDVStcMEXB<\/a><\/p>\n

— USA Swimming News (@USASwimmingNews) March 2, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n