{"id":145580,"date":"2015-08-03T20:10:05","date_gmt":"2015-08-04T03:10:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=145580"},"modified":"2015-08-03T20:09:12","modified_gmt":"2015-08-04T03:09:12","slug":"world-championships-swimming-medal-predictions-50100200-freestyle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/world-championships-swimming-medal-predictions-50100200-freestyle\/","title":{"rendered":"World Championships Swimming Medal Predictions: 50\/100\/200 Freestyle"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pre-coverage of the World Championships is sponsored by Wylas Timing<\/a>. Each week leading up to the start of the swimming competition at the FINA world championships, Swimming World will offer medal predictions for the 42 events set to be contested in Kazan, Russia. <\/i><\/p>\n

Commentary by Jeff Commings, Swimming World Senior Writer<\/i><\/p>\n

When it comes to sprint freestyle at a major international swim meet, it\u2019s always difficult to know who will emerge victorious. Sprint freestyle involves not only explosive speed, but great technique and strong mental fortitude. And because the races are among the shortest on the event program, there’s hardly any time for a swimmer to break away from the field and easily claim the win.<\/p>\n

The world championships in Russia could officially mark the emergence of a new generation of sprint champions in the 50, 100 and 200 freestyles. With this being the year before the Olympics, everyone is on the lookout for the man and woman who will go into Rio with the target on their backs.<\/p>\n

\"Wylas<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: Wylas Timing<\/p><\/div>\n

Men\u2019s sprint freestyle at the world championships<\/h2>\n

50 freestyle<\/h3>\n

Brazil\u2019s Cesar Cielo<\/strong> is in danger of losing the world 50 free crown that he\u2019s owned since 2009. He\u2019s looking to become the second man in history to win the same individual event four consecutive times, and the one-length race in 2015 will be his toughest challenge.<\/p>\n

With a home crowd ready to push him to multiple gold medals, Vlad Morozov<\/strong> is in position to earn gold in the 50 freestyle. Olympic champion Florent Manaudou<\/strong> is back to his Olympic gold medal-winning form this year. Cielo\u2019s teammate Bruno Fratus<\/strong> could put together something major after getting some race rehearsal at the Pan American Games.<\/p>\n

Cielo won the 2013 gold medal with a 21.32, and the race might be that fast in Russia. I\u2019m sensing a 21.35 will be what it takes to win, and the four mentioned above can swim that fast. So too can Americans Nathan Adrian<\/strong> and Anthony Ervin<\/strong>, who will be looking to end the USA\u2019s world championship medal drought in this event that goes back to 2007. Though Adrian is best in the 100 free, surely the daily grind of training next to 50 free specialist Ervin will help both of them.<\/p>\n

Anyone who gets in the final of the men\u2019s 50 free has a chance to win. George Bovell<\/strong> of Trinidad and Tobago got a surprise bronze in 2013, and is still swimming well. Greece\u2019s Kristian Gkolomeev<\/strong> will be looking for a long course breakthrough after two years of success in the short course collegiate pool. Hungary\u2019s Kristian Takacs<\/strong>, Japan\u2019s Katsumi Nakamura<\/strong> and Italy\u2019s Marco Orsi<\/strong> have all broken 22 seconds this year, and will have to replicate those swims for a chance to be in the top eight.<\/p>\n

Men\u2019s 50 freestyle medal predictions<\/h3>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Vlad Morozov
\nSilver:<\/strong> Florent Manaudou
\nBronze:<\/strong> Cesar Cielo<\/p>\n

\"Morozov,<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: David Farr<\/p><\/div>\n

100 freestyle<\/h3>\n

With two-time world champion James Magnussen<\/strong> not competing at the world championships<\/a>, who will take his place as the new world champion? Will Morozov return the crown to Russia and officially become the successor to the great Alex Popov<\/strong>? Or will the American duo of Adrian and Jimmy Feigen<\/strong> guide the USA to a 1-2 finish?<\/p>\n

The 100 free final in Kazan could be one of the fastest ever. In 2013, four swimmers broke 48 seconds, but I believe at least six will do so this year. The final sometimes turns into a tactical race that is more about the place than the time, and we often see swims that are a bit slower than expected. Of course, nerves and the immense waves in the pool play a factor.<\/p>\n

Lots of young talent is emerging in this event, and it\u2019s making for very exciting possibilities in Russia. Australia\u2019s Cameron McEvoy<\/strong> upset Magnussen and Adrian at last year\u2019s Pan Pacific championships in the 100 free, showing that he is ready to take the throne. But, he didn\u2019t break 48 seconds at the Australian trials, so we\u2019re left to wonder if there is more in the tank, or is a 47-second swim not in the cards for McEvoy this year.<\/p>\n

The biggest surprise to come from the Pan American Games last week was the 47.98 by Santo Condorelli<\/a> leading off Canada\u2019s 400 free relay. Condorelli heads to his first world championships tied with Morozov for the fastest time in the world, and the only two swims under 48 seconds this year. If he makes it into the 100 free final, can Condorelli drop time again when surrounded by seven of the fastest in the world?<\/p>\n

Another wild card making his world championships debut will be Ning Zetao<\/strong> of China. He set an Asian record of 47.65 last year, and that time could win a medal. Also on the cusp of a sub-48 second swim is Brazilian Matheus Santana<\/strong>, the junior world record holder. I expected him to be much faster than he was at the Pan American Games (he finished seventh with a 49.58), but perhaps he was hedging his bets for a major performance at world championships.<\/p>\n

As for the Americans, it\u2019s hard to guess how well they\u2019ll do. Since there was no taper meet before worlds, I\u2019m not 100 percent sure of their level of speed in 2015, especially with Adrian since he bowed out of a couple of 100 free finals recently.<\/p>\n

Men\u2019s 100 freestyle medal predictions<\/h3>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Vlad Morozov
\nSilver:<\/strong> Nathan Adrian
\nBronze:<\/strong> Cameron McEvoy<\/p>\n

\"nathan-adrian-santa-clara-2015<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: JD Lasica<\/p><\/div>\n

200 freestyle<\/h3>\n

Ryan Lochte<\/strong> has been shut out of the 200 freestyle medals at major international meets since 2012. He won this event at the 2011 world championships, but has been fourth or fifth for the past three years. Perhaps this is his year to get back on the medal stand, and his chances are better with the withdrawals of Yannick Agnel<\/strong> and Kosuke Hagino<\/strong> due to illness and injury.<\/p>\n

Another athlete who hasn\u2019t been up to form in the 200 free recently is world record holder Paul Biedermann<\/strong> of Germany. But he\u2019s at the top of the world rankings in the event, suggesting a resurgence for the 28-year-old. The 1:45.60 he swam in April will be necessary for him to get a medal, as Lochte has the potential to do that as well.<\/p>\n

Lochte\u2019s teammate Conor Dwyer<\/strong> is a serious gold medal possibility as well. Dwyer snuck in for silver at the 2013 worlds, and has been performing well since then. Like Biedermann, Dwyer tends to let others push the pace at the beginning and accelerate in the second half. He\u2019ll need to keep in contact with the likes of Lochte in order to make his strategy work.<\/p>\n

McEvoy and Aussie teammate David McKeon<\/strong> could be a strong 1-2 threat, and have the speed to shock the field and burn them out quickly. Sebastian Verschuren<\/strong> of the Netherlands and Brit James Guy<\/strong> are likely to get into the final, where they could produce lifetime bests and be in the medal hunt.<\/p>\n

But the strongest threat comes from China\u2019s Sun Yang<\/strong>, who is looking to become the first to win four freestyle gold medals at one world championships. Yang skipped out on the 200 free in 2013, but reports indicate that he\u2019s in the event this year with gold on his mind. I get the sense that Sun\u2019s 1:45.75 from April was not done at full strength. Sun is the only contender to have swum under 1:45 in the past three years (1:44.98 at the 2012 Olympics), so the capacity is there for him to give China its first 200 freestyle championship.<\/p>\n

Men\u2019s 200 freestyle medal predictions<\/h3>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Sun Yang
\nSilver:<\/strong> Conor Dwyer
\nBronze:<\/strong> Ryan Lochte<\/p>\n

\"conor-dwyer-\"<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: Peter H. Bick<\/p><\/div>\n

Women\u2019s 50 freestyle<\/h3>\n

Cate Campbell<\/strong> appears to have the 50 and 100 freestyle titles locked. But since having shoulder surgery, she hasn\u2019t raced much, and that might affect her in Russia. She still put up some impressive times in the few races she\u2019s done since Australian nationals in April, but so have a lot of her challengers.<\/p>\n

The 50 freestyle, surprisingly, is not Campbell\u2019s best event. Since winning bronze as a 15-year-old in the 50 free at the 2008 Olympics, she\u2019s grown into a better 100 freestyler. That\u2019s evidenced by the fact that the only 50 free gold medal she\u2019s won since 2008 was last year\u2019s Pan Pacific championships. She\u2019ll be looking to dethrone Ranomi Kromowidjojo<\/strong> as world champion, with four others with a shot to do so as well.<\/p>\n

Cate Campbell needs to look no further than younger sister Bronte<\/strong> for a challenge. The two are first and second in the world, but not by much, indicating that the women\u2019s 50 freestyle finish could be just as close as the men\u2019s race.<\/p>\n

Fran Halsall<\/strong> got the gold at last year\u2019s Commonwealth Games in the 50 free with a 23.96, posting the fastest swim in a textile suit (which Cate Campbell tied a month later). Though she \u201conly\u201d swam a 24.37 at the British nationals, look for her to get under 24 seconds in Russia. Another challenger to the 24-second barrier is Sarah Sjostrom<\/strong> of Sweden, who swam a lifetime best 24.20 last month.<\/p>\n

Arianna Vanderpool-Wallace<\/strong> had a phenomenal win in the 50 free at the Pan American Games, and will use that momentum to get onto her first world championship podium. Her explosive speed is unmatched by the other top ladies in the field, but she\u2019ll have to keep them at bay in the final 10 meters.<\/p>\n

The American duo of Simone Manuel<\/strong> and Ivy Martin<\/strong> will have to put up superior times in the semifinals to secure a spot in what will be a very packed final. Manuel will have to swim right on her best time of 24.56, while Martin will have to find a couple of tenths to make her world championships finals debut.<\/p>\n

Women\u2019s 50 freestyle medal predictions<\/h3>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Cate Campbell
\nSilver:<\/strong> Fran Halsall
\nBronze:<\/strong> Sarah Sjostrom<\/p>\n

\"Photo<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: Delly Carr<\/p><\/div>\n

100 freestyle<\/h3>\n

This is where Manuel has the best shot for an individual medal. Her 100 freestyle has improved dramatically in the past year, and her 46.09 American record in the 100-yard freestyle<\/a> should translate to close to an American record in the long course pool. Amanda Weir<\/strong> has owned the American record of 53.02 since 2009, and Manuel is on the right track to challenge it.<\/p>\n

Manuel and Campbell are the two best candidates for 100 free gold, but not the only ones. Femke Heemskerk<\/strong> of the Netherlands looks to keep her country\u2019s sprint freestyle tradition alive, as does reigning Olympic champion Kromowidjojo. Expect Bronte Campbell and Sjostrom to take the race out hard and keep Cate Campbell fighting for every meter of that race.<\/p>\n

Missy Franklin<\/strong> continues to excel in the 100 free, which is great for Team USA\u2019s relays, but she\u2019s still just outside of the medal picture. Look for her to storm home in the final 25 meters to get into the top six.<\/p>\n

Women\u2019s 100 freestyle medal predictions<\/h3>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Cate Campbell
\nSilver:<\/strong> Femke Heemskerk
\nBronze:<\/strong> Simone Manuel<\/p>\n

\"Jun<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: Robert Stanton\/USA Today Sports Images<\/p><\/div>\n

200 freestyle<\/h3>\n

Though Heemskerk and two-time world champion Federica Pellegrini<\/strong> should not be counted out, the women\u2019s 200 free battle for gold will be between Franklin and Katie Ledecky<\/strong>. These two have pushed each other to new heights in the past two years, and that will continue as they attempt a U.S. 1-2- finish. We can only guess how Franklin would have fared at last year\u2019s Pan Pacific championships in the 200 free without her back injury, but it\u2019s certain she\u2019s hungry to defend her 2013 world title.<\/p>\n

Ledecky will have the endurance to finish the race harder than Franklin. Franklin will look to her speed to open an early gap at the beginning stages of the race. Could the race result in an American record, breaking Allison Schmitt\u2019s<\/strong> 1:53.61? If Ledecky wins, it\u2019ll put her in great position to win four freestyle gold medals. She and Sun Yang could repeat as Swimmers of the Meet if they are able to pull off that distinction.<\/p>\n

After Sjostrom announced that she\u2019s taking the 200 freestyle off her world championships schedule<\/a>, the race opens up greatly. Ledecky, Franklin, Pellegrini and Heemskerk are the top four ladies in medal contention, but strong>Emma McKeon has the capacity for a swim under 1:55 that could get her on the medal podium.<\/p>\n

No one else in the world appears to have the ability to break 1:55 this year.<\/p>\n

Women\u2019s 200 freestyle medal predictions<\/h3>\n

Gold:<\/strong> Katie Ledecky
\nSilver:<\/strong> Missy Franklin
\nBronze:<\/strong> Femke Heemskerk<\/p>\n

\"ledecky-katie-mesa-2015\"<\/a>

Photo Courtesy: Kara Sekenski<\/p><\/div>\n

Previous world championships medal predictions<\/strong>
\nButterfly<\/a>
\nBreaststroke<\/a>
\nMedley relays<\/a>
\nIndividual medley<\/a>
\nDistance freestyle<\/a>
\nFreestyle relays<\/a>
\nBackstroke<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pre-coverage of the World Championships is sponsored by Wylas Timing. Each week leading up to the start of the swimming competition at the FINA world championships, Swimming World will offer<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":138603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,17,10],"tags":[51878,5223,25404,26550,27332,39113,53160,25342,25033,25031,25002,25136,25038,28341,19138,25400,41202,24849],"class_list":["post-145580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-commentary","category-world","tag-2015-fina-world-championships","tag-anthony-ervin","tag-arianna-vanderpool-wallace","tag-cate-campbell","tag-cesar-cielo","tag-femke-heemskerk","tag-fran-haslall","tag-james-magnussen","tag-jimmy-feigen","tag-katie-ledecky","tag-kosuke-hagino","tag-missy-franklin","tag-nathan-adrian","tag-paul-biedermann","tag-ryan-lochte","tag-simone-manuel","tag-vlad-morozov","tag-yannick-agnel"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\r\nWorld Championships Medal Predictions: 50\/100\/200 Freestyle<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The 50, 100 and 200 freestyles for men and women at the FINA world championships will be six of the most exciting races on the program.\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/world-championships-swimming-medal-predictions-50100200-freestyle\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"World Championships Swimming Medal Predictions: 50\/100\/200 Freestyle\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The 50, 100 and 200 freestyles for men and women at the FINA world championships will be six of the most exciting races on the program.\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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