{"id":106231,"date":"2014-08-18T08:00:20","date_gmt":"2014-08-18T15:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/?p=106231"},"modified":"2015-08-23T13:21:44","modified_gmt":"2015-08-23T20:21:44","slug":"pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/","title":{"rendered":"Pan Pacs Medal Predictions: Picking Top Three In Men&#8217;s and Women&#8217;s 50, 100, 200 Freestyles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>Editorial coverage for the Pan Pacific Championships is proudly sponsored by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.masterspas.com\/swim\/\" target=\"_blank\">Master Spas<\/a>! For complete coverage of the Pan Pacific Championships, check out our <a href=\"http:\/\/tv.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/events\/2014-pan-pacific-championships\" target=\"_blank\">event landing page<\/a>. <\/i><\/p>\n<p>PHOENIX, Arizona, August 18. FRIDAY\u2019S men\u2019s 100 freestyle final will Nathan Adrian\u2019s opportunity to tie up the series of races between himself and James Magnussen, and it will be an intense race. Magnussen won the 2011 and 2013 world titles, while Adrian took the Olympic gold medal.<\/p>\n<p>Magnussen gets a bit of a boost with the Australian crowd pulling for the sprint star at the Gold Coast Aquatic Centre, and that could be enough to give \u201cMaggie\u201d the win. Also working in Magnussen\u2019s favor is the 47.59 from the Australian nationals in April, one of only two swims under 48 seconds in 2014. (I\u2019ll get to the other sub-48 swim shortly.) Working against Magnussen is the reports that he is dealing with some back issues, but staying on the team means things might be in good shape.<\/p>\n<p>Adrian was not likely fully rested at nationals, so we should see him under 48. The problem that often comes up in a 100 free final is the slower times generated by the existence of monster waves in the pool and the existence of too much adrenaline that tends to get athletes overexerted. That didn\u2019t happen to Adrian at the Olympics, and he\u2019ll need that experience on Friday. Cameron McEvoy, the other swimmer under 48 this year, could spoil things by either splitting Magnussen and Adrian on the medal podium, or getting the win if the two stars are too busy focusing on each other.<\/p>\n<p>Whichever American gets in the final with Adrian \u2013 though I suppose we shouldn\u2019t always assume Adrian\u2019s a lock for finals \u2013 will be in the hunt. If it\u2019s Jimmy Feigen, he can draw on his shocking silver-medal finish at worlds last year. If it\u2019s Ryan Lochte, he will already be a winner just by being the second-fastest American in the 100 free at the meet, something not often mentioned in the same breath as Lochte. If Michael Phelps makes it in, he\u2019s always a threat.<\/p>\n<p>As for the men\u2019s 50 free, this will be a four-way fight featuring the USA and Brazil. Adrian and Anthony Ervin are likely to line up against Marcelo Chierighini and Bruno Fratus in this final. Magnussen is improving in the 50 free but doesn\u2019t specialize in it like the aforementioned four. Cullen Jones should make it into the B final and maybe post a time that would have challenged for a medal.<\/p>\n<p>Now that we know that Tae Hwan Park is officially set for Pan Pacs, he\u2019s the first name I think of for gold. He is the co-silver medalist from the Olympics and might have won the same medal or better at worlds last year if he hadn\u2019t taken time off from competition. But Thomas Fraser-Holmes has different plans. If Park is only capable of a 1:45 on Thursday, that could leave the door open for Fraser-Holmes to pull off an upset that will whip the home crowd into a frenzy.<\/p>\n<p>Conor Dwyer and Matt McLean (or Ryan Lochte or Michael Phelps) will be in the medal hunt, but no one has indicated that a 1:45 swim is in store this year. Let\u2019s hope they all surprise us. The 200 free is the first event of the meet, and a race decided by a few tenths from first to fourth or fifth would set the tone for the remaining three days.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b>Men\u2019s 50, 100 and 200 freestyle medal predictions:<br \/>\n50:<br \/>\nGold:<\/b> Anthony Ervin, USA<br \/>\n<b>Silver:<\/b> Bruno Fratus, Brazil<br \/>\n<b>Bronze:<\/b> Nathan Adrian, USA<\/p>\n<p><b>100:<br \/>\nGold:<\/b> Nathan Adrian, USA<br \/>\n<b>Silver:<\/b> Cameron McEvoy, Australia<br \/>\n<b>Bronze:<\/b> James Magnussen, Australia<\/p>\n<p><b>200:<br \/>\nGold:<\/b> Tae Hwan Park, Korea<br \/>\n<b>Silver:<\/b> Thomas Fraser-Holmes, Australia<br \/>\n<b>Bronze:<\/b> Conor Dwyer, USA<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I won\u2019t waste much time discussing the women\u2019s 50 and 100 freestyles. Cate Campbell wins both in a landslide. The Americans will have a tough time getting second in both, as Campbell\u2019s younger sister Bronte is the challenger and has the potential to be part of an Aussie 1-2 sweep. Simone Manuel continues to improve, posting a lifetime best 24.56 at the U.S. nationals, but that\u2019s a light year behind the 24.00 by Cate and the 24.20 by Bronte from the Commonwealth Games.<\/p>\n<p>Missy Franklin and Manuel do not appear to be capable of a 52-second 100 freestyle in 2014, though we might see that from them in 2016. With that in mind, the Campbell sisters, both regularly swimming 52s this year, are a lock for the 100 free top two.<\/p>\n<p>The 200 free isn\u2019t as easy to predict. Katie Ledecky\u2019s incredible 1:55.16 puts the target on her back in the event. This is the first event of the meet, and will be Ledecky\u2019s only major challenge. If she can outswim Australian Emma McKeon, she is ensured of five gold medals.<\/p>\n<p>Missy Franklin is the biggest question mark. She was second to Ledecky at nationals with a 1:56.40, but she wasn\u2019t fully tapered. If she can approach the 1:54.81 that she swam on the way to world championship gold, she could drag Ledecky and McKeon along with her.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s not forget about Bronte Barratt, the Olympic bronze medalist. She wasn\u2019t on form at Commonwealth Games, but like many Australians, I expect her to be fully focused on top performances at Pan Pacs.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b>Women\u2019s 50, 100 and 200 freestyle medal predictions:<br \/>\n50:<br \/>\nGold:<\/b> Cate Campbell, Australia<br \/>\n<b>Silver:<\/b> Bronte Campbell, Australia<br \/>\n<b>Bronze:<\/b> Simone Manuel, USA<\/p>\n<p><b>100:<br \/>\nGold:<\/b> Cate Campbell, Australia<br \/>\n<b>Silver:<\/b> Bronte Campbell, Australia<br \/>\n<b>Bronze:<\/b> Missy Franklin, USA<\/p>\n<p><b>200:<br \/>\nGold:<\/b> Katie Ledecky, USA<br \/>\n<b>Silver:<\/b> Missy Franklin, USA<br \/>\n<b>Bronze:<\/b> Emma McKeon, Australia<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Editorial coverage for the Pan Pacific Championships is proudly sponsored by Master Spas! For complete coverage of the Pan Pacific Championships, check out our event landing page. PHOENIX, Arizona, August<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":59181,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,17,10],"tags":[54078,5223,27257,28888,27536,26550,24850,25027,27538,42433,25342,25033,25031,26874,24854,6302,25136,25038,31255,19138,25400,25335,31258],"class_list":["post-106231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-commentary","category-world","tag-2014-pan-pacific-championships","tag-anthony-ervin","tag-bronte-campbell","tag-bruno-fratus","tag-cameron-mcevoy","tag-cate-campbell","tag-conor-dwyer","tag-cullen-jones","tag-emma-mckeon","tag-gold-coast-aquatic-centre","tag-james-magnussen","tag-jimmy-feigen","tag-katie-ledecky","tag-marcelo-chierighini","tag-matt-mclean","tag-michael-phelps","tag-missy-franklin","tag-nathan-adrian","tag-park-tae-hwan","tag-ryan-lochte","tag-simone-manuel","tag-tae-hwan-park","tag-thomas-fraser-holmes"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>Pan Pacs Medal Predictions: Picking Top Three In Men&#039;s and Women&#039;s 50, 100, 200 Freestyles - Swimming World<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pan Pacs Medal Predictions: Picking Top Three In Men&#039;s and Women&#039;s 50, 100, 200 Freestyles\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Editorial coverage for the Pan Pacific Championships is proudly sponsored by Master Spas! For complete coverage of the Pan Pacific Championships, check out our event landing page. PHOENIX, Arizona, August\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Swimming World\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/SwimmingWorld\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-08-18T15:00:20+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-08-23T20:21:44+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/park-tae-hwan-pan-pacs-2010-e1461676407731.jpg\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"799\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jeff Commings\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@swimmingworld\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@swimmingworld\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jeff Commings\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jeff Commings\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/11d58f31d00d146ff00dc388db73f92a\"},\"headline\":\"Pan Pacs Medal Predictions: Picking Top Three In Men&#8217;s and Women&#8217;s 50, 100, 200 Freestyles\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-08-18T15:00:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2015-08-23T20:21:44+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/\"},\"wordCount\":945,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/park-tae-hwan-pan-pacs-2010-e1461676407731.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"2014-pan-pacific-championships\",\"Anthony Ervin\",\"Bronte Campbell\",\"Bruno Fratus\",\"Cameron McEvoy\",\"Cate Campbell\",\"Conor Dwyer\",\"Cullen Jones\",\"Emma McKeon\",\"Gold Coast Aquatic Centre\",\"James Magnussen\",\"Jimmy Feigen\",\"Katie Ledecky\",\"Marcelo Chierighini\",\"Matt McLean\",\"Michael Phelps\",\"Missy Franklin\",\"Nathan Adrian\",\"Park Tae-Hwan\",\"Ryan Lochte\",\"Simone Manuel\",\"Tae Hwan Park\",\"Thomas Fraser-Holmes\"],\"articleSection\":[\"-Home Slider\",\"Commentary\",\"World\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/pan-pacs-medal-predictions-picking-top-three-in-mens-and-womens-50-100-200-freestyles\/\",\"name\":\"Pan Pacs Medal Predictions: Picking Top Three In Men's and Women's 50, 100, 200 Freestyles - 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