Each day through August 19 (US), Swimming World will provide medal predictions for the Pan Pacific championships. We invite you to offer your thoughts on who is in line to win medals in the comments section!<\/i><\/p>\n
Commentary by David Rieder<\/i><\/p>\n
CHARLESTON, South Carolina, August 19. THE American women won the 400 medley relay over Australia by a two-second margin at the World Championships in Barcelona last summer, but look for the hometown team to get their revenge this time around. A breakout of young talent from Down Under, combined with some veteran faces from the American side not returning from last year\u2019s Worlds, will put Australia on top of the podium for the first time at a big meet since 2008.<\/p>\n
On the leadoff leg, call the battle between Missy Franklin and Emily Seebohm a draw, as their rematch from the individual 100 back should be tight as the original. Lorna Tonks could improve slightly on the 1:06.84 that Sally Foster \u2013 now Sally Hunter \u2013 clocked last year, while Jessica Hardy, Breeja Larson, or Micah Lawrence should stake the Americans to a slight lead. The big change comes on the fly. Without Olympic gold medalist Dana Vollmer in the lineup, the entire feel of the American relay changes.<\/p>\n
In the previous three years, all years when the U.S. has won the either the World or Olympic titles, Vollmer has taken a lead and ballooned it. Now, the Americans have the options of Kendyl Stewart, Claire Donahue, and Felicia Lee for the fly leg. Australia\u2019s Madeline Groves or Alicia Coutts should take a slight lead going into the free, where Cate Campbell could obliterate Simone Manuel if the American sprinter is unable to replicate her amazing anchor leg from the Duel in the Pool to help Team USA win the meet.<\/p>\n
The huge void created with Vollmer\u2019s absence will cost the Americans dearly here, and frankly, the emergence of Campbell as the world\u2019s dominant sprinter could make the point moot. Meanwhile, I\u2019ll take Canada over Japan in the battle for bronze. Since the retirement of Aya Terakawa, Japan doesn’t have the one go-to leg to establish them a big enough lead, and Canada should have a strong front half with either Sinead Russell or Brooklyn Snodgrass.<\/p>\n
Women\u2019s 400 medley relay medal predictions:
\nGold:<\/b> Australia
\nSilver:<\/b> United States
\nBronze:<\/b> Canada<\/p><\/blockquote>\nThe American men dominated the medley relay final at Worlds last year but came away with nothing to show for it after Kevin Cordes\u2019 false start. With almost the same relay back in action this time, not much should change. Matt Grevers, Cordes, and Nathan Adrian all return, while Michael Phelps or Tom Shields will take over for Ryan Lochte on the fly leg. Cordes will need to secure his position as the best in the country in the 100 breast after an extremely disappointing finals swim at Nationals, where he finished third.<\/p>\n
The Australians ended up with the silver medal behind France at Worlds after the American DQ, and they won the Commonwealth title last month with a team of Mitch Larkin, Christian Sprenger, Jayden Hadler, and James Magnussen. The key leg for the Aussies will be breaststroke now that Sprenger has withdrawn from the meet. Deficits on back and fly would be too much to make up even with Sprenger at 100 percent anyway.<\/p>\n
After searching for one the past decade, Japan still can\u2019t find a freestyler, but they should have no trouble securing bronze here. Ryosuke Irie provides an excellent leadoff leg, and Takuro Fujii has long been a capable flyer. Without Kosuke Kitajima on the Pan Pacs team, the Japanese will turn to one of their three 100 breaststrokers ranked in the world top-20, Yasuhiro Koseki, Naoya Tomita, or Hiromasa Sakimoto.<\/p>\n
Men\u2019s 400 medley relay medal predictions:
\nGold:<\/b> United States
\nSilver:<\/b> Australia
\nBronze:<\/b> Japan\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Each day through August 19 (US), Swimming World will provide medal predictions for the Pan Pacific championships. We invite you to offer your thoughts on who is in line to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":59379,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3,17,10],"tags":[13792,14055,29321,27256,28627,1265,8581,25272,27550,26710,35214,25342,38834,25034,25201,25176,31428,25317,12011,25412,6302,25136,34441,39527,25038,19138,25220,27549,25400,26197,25424,27533],"class_list":["post-106223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-commentary","category-world","tag-alicia-coutts","tag-aya-terakawa","tag-brooklyn-snodgrass","tag-christian-sprenger","tag-claire-donahue","tag-commonwealth-day","tag-dana-vollmer","tag-david-rieder","tag-emily-seebohm","tag-felicia-lee","tag-hiromasa-sakimoto","tag-james-magnussen","tag-jayden-hadler","tag-jessica-hardy","tag-kendyl-stewart","tag-kevin-cordes","tag-lorna-tonks","tag-madeline-groves","tag-matt-grevers","tag-micah-lawrence","tag-michael-phelps","tag-missy-franklin","tag-mitch-larkin","tag-naoya-tomita","tag-nathan-adrian","tag-ryan-lochte","tag-sally-foster","tag-sally-hunter","tag-simone-manuel","tag-sinead-russell","tag-tom-shields","tag-yasuhiro-koseki"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\r\n
Butterfly Weakness Looking To Be Australian Women's Opportunity in 400 Medley Relay At Pan Pacs - Swimming World<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/butterfly-weakness-looking-to-be-australian-womens-opportunity-in-400-medley-relay-at-pan-pacs\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Butterfly Weakness Looking To Be Australian Women's Opportunity in 400 Medley Relay At Pan Pacs\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Each day through August 19 (US), Swimming World will provide medal predictions for the Pan Pacific championships. 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He has contributed to the magazine and website since 2009, and he has covered the NCAA Championships, U.S. Nationals, Olympic Trials as well as the 2016 Olympic Games in Rio and the 2017 World Championships in Budapest. He is a native of Charleston, S.C., and a 2016 graduate of Duke University.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/David_Rieder"],"url":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/author\/davidr\/"}]}},"cc_featured_image_caption":{"caption_text":false,"source_text":false,"source_url":false},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/vmrw8k5h.tinifycdn.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/alicia-coutts.jpg","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p56Jja-rDh","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106223","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106223"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106223\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59379"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106223"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106223"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swimmingworldmagazine.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106223"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}